Alan Rick holds the leading position in the Acre gubernatorial race, with recent polling averages from institutes such as Quaest, Real Time Big Data, and others placing him ahead of incumbent Mailza Assis by margins of 7–13 points in first-round scenarios. His consistent edge stems from strong name recognition as a sitting senator, endorsements within the Republicanos party coalition, and voter focus on economic and infrastructure priorities. Mailza Assis maintains a competitive second place, buoyed by approval ratings near 67% for her administration and the PP's organizational base, though her re-election bid faces headwinds from ongoing campaign exchanges. A late-September police operation probing alleged coordinated social media attacks on Rick, involving individuals tied to state positions, has added to the contest's visibility without shifting aggregate voter intentions. Traders' pricing reflects these polling trends and the October 4 first-round timeline, with the possibility of a runoff on October 25 still open depending on final vote distribution among lower-polling candidates such as Tião Bocalom.