Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service project a daytime maximum of 20°C at Ankara’s Esenboğa International Airport station on May 16, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and moderate northerly flow limiting afternoon warming. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms of 20–22°C on the Anatolian plateau, where elevation and continental air masses typically cap highs near this level under clear to partly cloudy skies. Model consensus across regional runs reinforces the outcome with minimal spread, placing the market-implied probability at near-certainty. A modest uptick in insolation or unexpected southeasterly advection could push readings to 21°C, though current observational trends and upper-level guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
Highest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$65,355 Vol.
$65,355 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$65,355 Vol.
$65,355 Vol.
16. Mai 2026
20°C
$8,099 Vol.
100%
21°C
$18,797 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$7,128 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$6,273 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$4,119 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service project a daytime maximum of 20°C at Ankara’s Esenboğa International Airport station on May 16, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and moderate northerly flow limiting afternoon warming. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms of 20–22°C on the Anatolian plateau, where elevation and continental air masses typically cap highs near this level under clear to partly cloudy skies. Model consensus across regional runs reinforces the outcome with minimal spread, placing the market-implied probability at near-certainty. A modest uptick in insolation or unexpected southeasterly advection could push readings to 21°C, though current observational trends and upper-level guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Volumen
$65,355Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service project a daytime maximum of 20°C at Ankara’s Esenboğa International Airport station on May 16, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and moderate northerly flow limiting afternoon warming. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms of 20–22°C on the Anatolian plateau, where elevation and continental air masses typically cap highs near this level under clear to partly cloudy skies. Model consensus across regional runs reinforces the outcome with minimal spread, placing the market-implied probability at near-certainty. A modest uptick in insolation or unexpected southeasterly advection could push readings to 21°C, though current observational trends and upper-level guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$65,355Enddatum
16. Mai 2026Markt eröffnet
May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service project a daytime maximum of 20°C at Ankara’s Esenboğa International Airport station on May 16, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure dominance and moderate northerly flow limiting afternoon warming. This aligns with mid-May climatological norms of 20–22°C on the Anatolian plateau, where elevation and continental air masses typically cap highs near this level under clear to partly cloudy skies. Model consensus across regional runs reinforces the outcome with minimal spread, placing the market-implied probability at near-certainty. A modest uptick in insolation or unexpected southeasterly advection could push readings to 21°C, though current observational trends and upper-level guidance make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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