Current forecast models for Chengdu on June 15 project a daily maximum near the early-summer climatological average of 28–30 °C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 31 °C or below. Regional high-pressure patterns and moderate southerly flow are expected to limit daytime heating, while increased cloud cover and scattered showers—common in the Sichuan basin during mid-June—further cap extreme values. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 33 °C under drier scenarios. Official observations from local meteorological stations will resolve the market, and any last-minute model shifts in moisture or insolation could adjust probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 15?
31°C or below 68%
32°C 22%
33°C 9%
34°C 4.9%
NEU
$14,559 Vol.
NEU
$14,559 Vol.
15. Juni 2026
31°C or below
68%
32°C
22%
33°C
9%
34°C
5%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C or higher
<1%
31°C or below 68%
32°C 22%
33°C 9%
34°C 4.9%
NEU
$14,559 Vol.
NEU
$14,559 Vol.
15. Juni 2026
31°C or below
$4,038 Vol.
68%
32°C
$1,310 Vol.
22%
33°C
$879 Vol.
9%
34°C
$1,067 Vol.
5%
35°C
$2,126 Vol.
1%
36°C
$2,011 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,128 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$647 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$525 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$548 Vol.
<1%
41°C or higher
$442 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Chengdu on June 15 project a daily maximum near the early-summer climatological average of 28–30 °C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 31 °C or below. Regional high-pressure patterns and moderate southerly flow are expected to limit daytime heating, while increased cloud cover and scattered showers—common in the Sichuan basin during mid-June—further cap extreme values. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 33 °C under drier scenarios. Official observations from local meteorological stations will resolve the market, and any last-minute model shifts in moisture or insolation could adjust probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$14,559Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models for Chengdu on June 15 project a daily maximum near the early-summer climatological average of 28–30 °C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 31 °C or below. Regional high-pressure patterns and moderate southerly flow are expected to limit daytime heating, while increased cloud cover and scattered showers—common in the Sichuan basin during mid-June—further cap extreme values. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 33 °C under drier scenarios. Official observations from local meteorological stations will resolve the market, and any last-minute model shifts in moisture or insolation could adjust probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,559Enddatum
15. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 13, 2026, 12:11 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models for Chengdu on June 15 project a daily maximum near the early-summer climatological average of 28–30 °C, aligning with the market’s heavy weighting toward 31 °C or below. Regional high-pressure patterns and moderate southerly flow are expected to limit daytime heating, while increased cloud cover and scattered showers—common in the Sichuan basin during mid-June—further cap extreme values. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread, with only modest upside risk to 33 °C under drier scenarios. Official observations from local meteorological stations will resolve the market, and any last-minute model shifts in moisture or insolation could adjust probabilities before resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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