Market-implied odds reflect verified maximum temperature observations from official Chongqing stations reaching precisely 36°C on August 15, locking in this outcome with near-certainty as the day concludes. Subtropical monsoon conditions, including high humidity and urban heat-island effects typical of the region in mid-August, align with recent forecasts showing daily highs stabilizing around this threshold without further intensification. Historical August averages of 33–35°C provide climatological context, while current model consensus from agencies shows minimal deviation risk. Only an improbable late-day measurement revision or station anomaly could alter resolution, though such shifts remain statistically negligible given real-time data convergence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Chongqing am 15. August?
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$36,709 Vol.
$36,709 Vol.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
36°C 100.0%
32°C or below <1%
33°C <1%
34°C <1%
$36,709 Vol.
$36,709 Vol.
32°C or below
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
100%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Market-implied odds reflect verified maximum temperature observations from official Chongqing stations reaching precisely 36°C on August 15, locking in this outcome with near-certainty as the day concludes. Subtropical monsoon conditions, including high humidity and urban heat-island effects typical of the region in mid-August, align with recent forecasts showing daily highs stabilizing around this threshold without further intensification. Historical August averages of 33–35°C provide climatological context, while current model consensus from agencies shows minimal deviation risk. Only an improbable late-day measurement revision or station anomaly could alter resolution, though such shifts remain statistically negligible given real-time data convergence.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Häufig gestellte Fragen