Persistent high-pressure ridging and southerly flow across the southern Plains support forecast highs near 100–101°F for Dallas on August 15 under mostly sunny skies, consistent with NWS guidance and recent model consensus. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring the 100–101°F bin at 51.5 percent, followed by 98–99°F. Ongoing regional heat patterns, with limited overnight relief and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s, sustain elevated heat indices near 104–106°F without triggering extreme intensification. Historical August baselines around 96–100°F provide climatological context, while minor model spread on wind and moisture keeps the 102°F+ outcomes at lower probabilities. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow will refine resolution criteria tied to official Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Dallas am 15. August?
100-101°F 53%
98-99°F 31%
102-103°F 13%
104-105°F 4%
$12,253 Vol.
$12,253 Vol.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
31%
100-101°F
53%
102-103°F
13%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
100-101°F 53%
98-99°F 31%
102-103°F 13%
104-105°F 4%
$12,253 Vol.
$12,253 Vol.
93°F or below
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
2%
98-99°F
31%
100-101°F
53%
102-103°F
13%
104-105°F
4%
106-107°F
1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high-pressure ridging and southerly flow across the southern Plains support forecast highs near 100–101°F for Dallas on August 15 under mostly sunny skies, consistent with NWS guidance and recent model consensus. This aligns with the market-implied odds favoring the 100–101°F bin at 51.5 percent, followed by 98–99°F. Ongoing regional heat patterns, with limited overnight relief and dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s, sustain elevated heat indices near 104–106°F without triggering extreme intensification. Historical August baselines around 96–100°F provide climatological context, while minor model spread on wind and moisture keeps the 102°F+ outcomes at lower probabilities. Updated short-range forecasts tomorrow will refine resolution criteria tied to official Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport observations.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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