Official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute for June 14, 2026, indicate a maximum of 15°C in Helsinki under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation, keeping daytime readings capped near that level through afternoon hours. This aligns with recent model consensus showing cooler-than-climatological conditions, where mid-June averages historically reach 16–18°C but current atmospheric patterns suppress warming. Trader positioning heavily favors 15°C at 63.5% implied probability, with 16°C at 34%, reflecting uncertainty around exact peak timing or localized variations, while probabilities drop sharply beyond those thresholds given the stable, moderate setup and absence of stronger high-pressure influence or clearer skies.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Helsinki on June 14?
15°C 64%
16°C 33%
17°C 3.0%
18°C <1%
$21,055 Vol.
$21,055 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
64%
16°C
33%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 64%
16°C 33%
17°C 3.0%
18°C <1%
$21,055 Vol.
$21,055 Vol.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
64%
16°C
33%
17°C
3%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute for June 14, 2026, indicate a maximum of 15°C in Helsinki under mostly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and minimal precipitation, keeping daytime readings capped near that level through afternoon hours. This aligns with recent model consensus showing cooler-than-climatological conditions, where mid-June averages historically reach 16–18°C but current atmospheric patterns suppress warming. Trader positioning heavily favors 15°C at 63.5% implied probability, with 16°C at 34%, reflecting uncertainty around exact peak timing or localized variations, while probabilities drop sharply beyond those thresholds given the stable, moderate setup and absence of stronger high-pressure influence or clearer skies.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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