Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature reaching 86°F or higher today, backed by National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 92°F under mostly clear skies. A strong upper-level ridge over Texas is promoting subsidence aloft, inhibiting cloud development and maximizing solar insolation with light, variable winds—ideal for above-normal heating, exceeding the May 14 climatological average of 86°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. Ensemble model guidance shows tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s highs, with an Ozone Action Day alert underscoring stagnant, warm conditions. Realistic challenges include a sudden surge in Gulf moisture strengthening the sea breeze or unforecast pop-up showers, though current soundings indicate low likelihood; afternoon hourly observations from official stations will finalize resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Houston on May 14?
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$17,403 Vol.
$17,403 Vol.
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
Yes
86°F or higher 100.0%
67°F or below <1%
68-69°F <1%
70-71°F <1%
$17,403 Vol.
$17,403 Vol.
67°F or below
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86°F or higher
Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Markt eröffnet: May 12, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Abwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Vorgeschlagenes Ergebnis: No
Kein Einspruch
Endgültiges Ergebnis: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Houston's highest temperature reaching 86°F or higher today, backed by National Weather Service forecasts calling for a peak near 92°F under mostly clear skies. A strong upper-level ridge over Texas is promoting subsidence aloft, inhibiting cloud development and maximizing solar insolation with light, variable winds—ideal for above-normal heating, exceeding the May 14 climatological average of 86°F at Bush Intercontinental Airport. Ensemble model guidance shows tight agreement on upper-80s to low-90s highs, with an Ozone Action Day alert underscoring stagnant, warm conditions. Realistic challenges include a sudden surge in Gulf moisture strengthening the sea breeze or unforecast pop-up showers, though current soundings indicate low likelihood; afternoon hourly observations from official stations will finalize resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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