Traders assign the highest implied probability (43%) to a 37°C peak in Lucknow on June 14, reflecting consensus from India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble models indicating partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers that typically moderate daytime maxima. Pre-monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, including westerly flow and modest moisture influx, historically produce 36–38°C ranges in mid-June rather than sustained heat-wave peaks above 40°C. Recent observations show a slight cooling trend from earlier June readings near 41–43°C, with forecast uncertainty centered on the timing and coverage of convective activity that could further suppress highs toward 36°C (20.5% probability) or allow brief spikes to 38°C (23.5%). Official verification will hinge on India Meteorological Department station data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHighest temperature in Lucknow on June 14?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on June 14?
37°C 44%
38°C 24%
36°C 21%
39°C 8%
NEU
$14,223 Vol.
NEU
$14,223 Vol.
14. Juni 2026
32°C oder niedriger
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
5%
36°C
21%
37°C
44%
38°C
24%
39°C
8%
40°C
1%
41°C
<1%
42°C oder höher
<1%
37°C 44%
38°C 24%
36°C 21%
39°C 8%
NEU
$14,223 Vol.
NEU
$14,223 Vol.
14. Juni 2026
32°C oder niedriger
$559 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,358 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$1,743 Vol.
1%
35°C
$1,818 Vol.
5%
36°C
$1,827 Vol.
21%
37°C
$929 Vol.
44%
38°C
$788 Vol.
24%
39°C
$1,467 Vol.
8%
40°C
$1,870 Vol.
1%
41°C
$993 Vol.
<1%
42°C oder höher
$931 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (43%) to a 37°C peak in Lucknow on June 14, reflecting consensus from India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble models indicating partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers that typically moderate daytime maxima. Pre-monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, including westerly flow and modest moisture influx, historically produce 36–38°C ranges in mid-June rather than sustained heat-wave peaks above 40°C. Recent observations show a slight cooling trend from earlier June readings near 41–43°C, with forecast uncertainty centered on the timing and coverage of convective activity that could further suppress highs toward 36°C (20.5% probability) or allow brief spikes to 38°C (23.5%). Official verification will hinge on India Meteorological Department station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 1:07 AM ET
Volumen
$14,223Enddatum
14. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 1:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Traders assign the highest implied probability (43%) to a 37°C peak in Lucknow on June 14, reflecting consensus from India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble models indicating partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers that typically moderate daytime maxima. Pre-monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, including westerly flow and modest moisture influx, historically produce 36–38°C ranges in mid-June rather than sustained heat-wave peaks above 40°C. Recent observations show a slight cooling trend from earlier June readings near 41–43°C, with forecast uncertainty centered on the timing and coverage of convective activity that could further suppress highs toward 36°C (20.5% probability) or allow brief spikes to 38°C (23.5%). Official verification will hinge on India Meteorological Department station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volumen
$14,223Enddatum
14. Juni 2026Markt eröffnet
Jun 12, 2026, 1:07 AM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest implied probability (43%) to a 37°C peak in Lucknow on June 14, reflecting consensus from India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble models indicating partly cloudy skies with isolated thundershowers that typically moderate daytime maxima. Pre-monsoon conditions over Uttar Pradesh, including westerly flow and modest moisture influx, historically produce 36–38°C ranges in mid-June rather than sustained heat-wave peaks above 40°C. Recent observations show a slight cooling trend from earlier June readings near 41–43°C, with forecast uncertainty centered on the timing and coverage of convective activity that could further suppress highs toward 36°C (20.5% probability) or allow brief spikes to 38°C (23.5%). Official verification will hinge on India Meteorological Department station data.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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