Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Tel Aviv will reach a daily maximum near 32–33°C on August 15 under sunny skies, light westerly breezes, and moderate Mediterranean humidity, aligning with climatological August averages of 30–32°C while reflecting modest warming from regional high pressure. Model consensus supports this range over higher extremes, as sea-surface temperatures and onshore flow typically cap coastal peaks, though slight model spread allows for localized readings near 34°C if daytime heating intensifies. These conditions have concentrated trader positioning on 33°C, with the market-implied odds reflecting the narrow window for deviation given stable atmospheric patterns and the day’s proximity to resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertHöchste Temperatur in Tel Aviv am 15. August?
33°C 73%
34°C 25%
32°C 4%
31°C <1%
$18,993 Vol.
$18,993 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
73%
34°C
25%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 73%
34°C 25%
32°C 4%
31°C <1%
$18,993 Vol.
$18,993 Vol.
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
73%
34°C
25%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate Tel Aviv will reach a daily maximum near 32–33°C on August 15 under sunny skies, light westerly breezes, and moderate Mediterranean humidity, aligning with climatological August averages of 30–32°C while reflecting modest warming from regional high pressure. Model consensus supports this range over higher extremes, as sea-surface temperatures and onshore flow typically cap coastal peaks, though slight model spread allows for localized readings near 34°C if daytime heating intensifies. These conditions have concentrated trader positioning on 33°C, with the market-implied odds reflecting the narrow window for deviation given stable atmospheric patterns and the day’s proximity to resolution.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert


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