Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 legislative election show Benny Gantz's Blue and White consistently projected below the 3.25% electoral threshold, typically in the 0.4–1.3% range amid fragmentation of centrist and opposition votes. Newer parties such as Yashar and Together, along with Reservists and other lists, have drawn support from similar constituencies, while Gantz's efforts to build broader alliances ahead of candidate list submissions have not produced measurable gains. Trader consensus on sub-1.25% outcomes reflects this structural weakness and limited upside scenarios. A late surge in turnout among traditional supporters or unexpected coalition realignments before election day could push the share higher, whereas continued splitting among center-right options would likely keep results near current low levels.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert2-3,25 % 44%
3,25 %+ 41%
0,75–1,25 % 41%
<0,75 % 37%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<0,75 %
37%
0,75–1,25 %
41%
1,25-2%
37%
2-3,25 %
44%
3,25 %+
41%
2-3,25 % 44%
3,25 %+ 41%
0,75–1,25 % 41%
<0,75 % 37%
NEU
NEU
30. Nov. 2026
<0,75 %
$0 Vol.
37%
0,75–1,25 %
$0 Vol.
41%
1,25-2%
$0 Vol.
37%
2-3,25 %
$0 Vol.
44%
3,25 %+
$0 Vol.
41%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 legislative election show Benny Gantz's Blue and White consistently projected below the 3.25% electoral threshold, typically in the 0.4–1.3% range amid fragmentation of centrist and opposition votes. Newer parties such as Yashar and Together, along with Reservists and other lists, have drawn support from similar constituencies, while Gantz's efforts to build broader alliances ahead of candidate list submissions have not produced measurable gains. Trader consensus on sub-1.25% outcomes reflects this structural weakness and limited upside scenarios. A late surge in turnout among traditional supporters or unexpected coalition realignments before election day could push the share higher, whereas continued splitting among center-right options would likely keep results near current low levels.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Markt eröffnet: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Volumen
$0Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 legislative election show Benny Gantz's Blue and White consistently projected below the 3.25% electoral threshold, typically in the 0.4–1.3% range amid fragmentation of centrist and opposition votes. Newer parties such as Yashar and Together, along with Reservists and other lists, have drawn support from similar constituencies, while Gantz's efforts to build broader alliances ahead of candidate list submissions have not produced measurable gains. Trader consensus on sub-1.25% outcomes reflects this structural weakness and limited upside scenarios. A late surge in turnout among traditional supporters or unexpected coalition realignments before election day could push the share higher, whereas continued splitting among center-right options would likely keep results near current low levels.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volumen
$0Enddatum
27. Okt. 2026Markt eröffnet
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETAbwicklungsquelle
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Abwickler
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 legislative election show Benny Gantz's Blue and White consistently projected below the 3.25% electoral threshold, typically in the 0.4–1.3% range amid fragmentation of centrist and opposition votes. Newer parties such as Yashar and Together, along with Reservists and other lists, have drawn support from similar constituencies, while Gantz's efforts to build broader alliances ahead of candidate list submissions have not produced measurable gains. Trader consensus on sub-1.25% outcomes reflects this structural weakness and limited upside scenarios. A late surge in turnout among traditional supporters or unexpected coalition realignments before election day could push the share higher, whereas continued splitting among center-right options would likely keep results near current low levels.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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