**Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and supporting sources converge on a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, under clear, stable high-pressure conditions that limit overnight cooling.** Current observations and ensemble predictions indicate a morning low near 55°F (roughly 13°C) before daytime highs climb to 30–31°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with typical early-summer climatology for the region. The overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for 13°C reflects traders’ confidence in this consensus, reinforced by the day’s proximity to resolution and the low historical variance in minimum temperatures once stable anticyclonic patterns are established. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling spike or localized measurement anomaly at the official station, though model agreement and current atmospheric conditions make such deviations improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 14. Juni?
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 Vol.
$12,364 Vol.
9°C oder weniger
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C oder höher
<1%
13°C 99.7%
11°C <1%
10°C <1%
12°C <1%
$12,364 Vol.
$12,364 Vol.
9°C oder weniger
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from agencies like Météo-France and supporting sources converge on a minimum temperature of 13°C for Paris on June 14, 2026, under clear, stable high-pressure conditions that limit overnight cooling.** Current observations and ensemble predictions indicate a morning low near 55°F (roughly 13°C) before daytime highs climb to 30–31°C amid light winds and minimal cloud cover, consistent with typical early-summer climatology for the region. The overwhelming 99.7% market-implied probability for 13°C reflects traders’ confidence in this consensus, reinforced by the day’s proximity to resolution and the low historical variance in minimum temperatures once stable anticyclonic patterns are established. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected late-night radiative cooling spike or localized measurement anomaly at the official station, though model agreement and current atmospheric conditions make such deviations improbable.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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Vorsicht bei externen Links.
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