Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 75.5% probability that the CDC will issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips due to outbreak risks—by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the early May hantavirus cluster aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship in the South Atlantic, where Andes virus caused at least three deaths among passengers, prompting CDC Emergency Operations Center activation at its lowest Level 3 tier on May 7. No Level 3 notices are active per CDC's latest update, but multiple Level 2 alerts for meningococcal disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, global poliovirus circulation in over 30 countries, and clade II mpox in Ghana and Liberia signal escalation potential amid seasonal upticks in mosquito-borne illnesses like chikungunya and yellow fever. Ongoing surveillance by CDC and WHO, including passenger monitoring and genomic sequencing, will inform future notices, with historical patterns showing Level 3 activations during multi-country clusters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Los CDC emiten una advertencia de Nivel 3 antes del 31 de diciembre?
¿Los CDC emiten una advertencia de Nivel 3 antes del 31 de diciembre?
Sí
$117,038 Vol.
$117,038 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$117,038 Vol.
$117,038 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 75.5% probability that the CDC will issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips due to outbreak risks—by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the early May hantavirus cluster aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship in the South Atlantic, where Andes virus caused at least three deaths among passengers, prompting CDC Emergency Operations Center activation at its lowest Level 3 tier on May 7. No Level 3 notices are active per CDC's latest update, but multiple Level 2 alerts for meningococcal disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, global poliovirus circulation in over 30 countries, and clade II mpox in Ghana and Liberia signal escalation potential amid seasonal upticks in mosquito-borne illnesses like chikungunya and yellow fever. Ongoing surveillance by CDC and WHO, including passenger monitoring and genomic sequencing, will inform future notices, with historical patterns showing Level 3 activations during multi-country clusters.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ET
Volumen
$117,038Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 75.5% probability that the CDC will issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips due to outbreak risks—by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the early May hantavirus cluster aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship in the South Atlantic, where Andes virus caused at least three deaths among passengers, prompting CDC Emergency Operations Center activation at its lowest Level 3 tier on May 7. No Level 3 notices are active per CDC's latest update, but multiple Level 2 alerts for meningococcal disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, global poliovirus circulation in over 30 countries, and clade II mpox in Ghana and Liberia signal escalation potential amid seasonal upticks in mosquito-borne illnesses like chikungunya and yellow fever. Ongoing surveillance by CDC and WHO, including passenger monitoring and genomic sequencing, will inform future notices, with historical patterns showing Level 3 activations during multi-country clusters.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC issues a Level 3 (“Reconsider Nonessential Travel”) Travel Health Notice for any disease by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A Level 3 notice listed for any amount of time during this market’s timeframe will suffice for a "Yes" resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the CDC’s official Travel Health Notices page (https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/travel/notices); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volumen
$117,038Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 19, 2026, 3:15 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 75.5% probability that the CDC will issue a Level 3 Travel Health Notice—recommending travelers reconsider nonessential trips due to outbreak risks—by December 31, 2026, driven primarily by the early May hantavirus cluster aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship in the South Atlantic, where Andes virus caused at least three deaths among passengers, prompting CDC Emergency Operations Center activation at its lowest Level 3 tier on May 7. No Level 3 notices are active per CDC's latest update, but multiple Level 2 alerts for meningococcal disease in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, global poliovirus circulation in over 30 countries, and clade II mpox in Ghana and Liberia signal escalation potential amid seasonal upticks in mosquito-borne illnesses like chikungunya and yellow fever. Ongoing surveillance by CDC and WHO, including passenger monitoring and genomic sequencing, will inform future notices, with historical patterns showing Level 3 activations during multi-country clusters.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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