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icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Elecciones·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Elecciones·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 92%

Elijah Manley 9%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick <1%

Mark Douglas <1%

Polymarket

$52,063 Vol.

Debbie Wasserman Schultz 92%

Elijah Manley 9%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick <1%

Mark Douglas <1%

Polymarket

$52,063 Vol.

icon for Debbie Wasserman Schultz

Debbie Wasserman Schultz

$22,492 Vol.

92%

icon for Elijah Manley

Elijah Manley

$20,203 Vol.

9%

icon for Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

$1,584 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mark Douglas

Mark Douglas

$838 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rudy Moise

Rudy Moise

$2,031 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luther Campbell

Luther Campbell

$1,251 Vol.

<1%

icon for Dale Holness

Dale Holness

$2,923 Vol.

<1%

icon for Maisha Williams

Maisha Williams

$741 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz holds a commanding lead in the August 18, 2026, Democratic primary for Florida’s 20th Congressional District, reflecting her substantial cash reserves, 21 years of congressional seniority, and strong name recognition after redistricting moved her from the more competitive 25th District. Multiple opponents, including Elijah Manley, Luther Campbell, Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, and Dale Holness, are splitting support in a plurality-Black district that has drawn criticism over representation concerns, while newspaper endorsements have bolstered her position. Trader consensus in the prediction market prices her win as highly probable given the divided field and her structural advantages, though a consolidation of opposition votes or unexpectedly high turnout for challengers could narrow the margin in the final hours before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$52,063
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Debbie Wasserman Schultz holds a commanding lead in the August 18, 2026, Democratic primary for Florida’s 20th Congressional District, reflecting her substantial cash reserves, 21 years of congressional seniority, and strong name recognition after redistricting moved her from the more competitive 25th District. Multiple opponents, including Elijah Manley, Luther Campbell, Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick, and Dale Holness, are splitting support in a plurality-Black district that has drawn criticism over representation concerns, while newspaper endorsements have bolstered her position. Trader consensus in the prediction market prices her win as highly probable given the divided field and her structural advantages, though a consolidation of opposition votes or unexpectedly high turnout for challengers could narrow the margin in the final hours before ballots close.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$52,063
Fecha de finalización
18 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" con 92%, seguido de "Elijah Manley" con 9%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 92¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" ha generado $52.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 22, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" es "Debbie Wasserman Schultz" con 92%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 92% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Elijah Manley" con 9%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.