Current meteorological forecasts position Ankara for a daily maximum of 20°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Official model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service incorporates prevailing high-pressure systems and typical mid-May temperature advection over central Anatolia, producing a tight range with minimal upside potential. Historical climatological baselines for the period show average highs near this level, reinforcing trader alignment with observed data rather than speculative warming scenarios. Resolution hinges on the verified peak reading, which could shift only if rapid changes in cloud cover or localized wind patterns occur before the close of the observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Ankara on May 16?
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$65,355 Vol.
$65,355 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 100.0%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$65,355 Vol.
$65,355 Vol.
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current meteorological forecasts position Ankara for a daily maximum of 20°C, driving the market's near-certain 100% implied probability for that outcome. Official model consensus from agencies such as the Turkish State Meteorological Service incorporates prevailing high-pressure systems and typical mid-May temperature advection over central Anatolia, producing a tight range with minimal upside potential. Historical climatological baselines for the period show average highs near this level, reinforcing trader alignment with observed data rather than speculative warming scenarios. Resolution hinges on the verified peak reading, which could shift only if rapid changes in cloud cover or localized wind patterns occur before the close of the observation window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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