Recent National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas show a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and southerly flow, positioning Austin’s daytime maximum between 88°F and 91°F on May 16. This setup has concentrated market-implied odds on the 88-89°F and 90°F-or-higher outcomes, as model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF indicates minimal cloud interference and dew points supportive of efficient daytime heating. Typical mid-May climatology for the area centers near 85°F, yet current guidance projects a several-degree positive anomaly tied to the ridge’s persistence. Resolution depends on the official reading at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, where afternoon convection or slight timing shifts in peak insolation could determine whether the high settles at 88-89°F or edges into the low 90s.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Austin on May 16?
Highest temperature in Austin on May 16?
90°F or higher 54%
88-89°F 48%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$51,312 Vol.
$51,312 Vol.
16 may 2026
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
48%
90°F or higher
54%
90°F or higher 54%
88-89°F 48%
82-83°F <1%
84-85°F <1%
$51,312 Vol.
$51,312 Vol.
16 may 2026
82-83°F
$2,475 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$2,542 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$6,847 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$4,558 Vol.
48%
90°F or higher
$6,787 Vol.
54%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas show a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and southerly flow, positioning Austin’s daytime maximum between 88°F and 91°F on May 16. This setup has concentrated market-implied odds on the 88-89°F and 90°F-or-higher outcomes, as model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF indicates minimal cloud interference and dew points supportive of efficient daytime heating. Typical mid-May climatology for the area centers near 85°F, yet current guidance projects a several-degree positive anomaly tied to the ridge’s persistence. Resolution depends on the official reading at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, where afternoon convection or slight timing shifts in peak insolation could determine whether the high settles at 88-89°F or edges into the low 90s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volumen
$51,312Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas show a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and southerly flow, positioning Austin’s daytime maximum between 88°F and 91°F on May 16. This setup has concentrated market-implied odds on the 88-89°F and 90°F-or-higher outcomes, as model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF indicates minimal cloud interference and dew points supportive of efficient daytime heating. Typical mid-May climatology for the area centers near 85°F, yet current guidance projects a several-degree positive anomaly tied to the ridge’s persistence. Resolution depends on the official reading at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, where afternoon convection or slight timing shifts in peak insolation could determine whether the high settles at 88-89°F or edges into the low 90s.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$51,312Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for central Texas show a strong high-pressure ridge promoting clear skies and southerly flow, positioning Austin’s daytime maximum between 88°F and 91°F on May 16. This setup has concentrated market-implied odds on the 88-89°F and 90°F-or-higher outcomes, as model consensus from the GFS and ECMWF indicates minimal cloud interference and dew points supportive of efficient daytime heating. Typical mid-May climatology for the area centers near 85°F, yet current guidance projects a several-degree positive anomaly tied to the ridge’s persistence. Resolution depends on the official reading at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, where afternoon convection or slight timing shifts in peak insolation could determine whether the high settles at 88-89°F or edges into the low 90s.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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