Model consensus from major ensembles including the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS currently favors a Beijing high near 19–21°C on May 17, positioning those outcomes as market leaders. A weak cold front advancing from the north is expected to bring northerly winds, light rain, and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating and caps temperatures. Earlier frontal passage with partial clearing could briefly allow readings to reach 22°C, while sustained overcast conditions would hold the peak at or below 19°C. Recent model runs show little divergence in the core 19–21°C range, though traders continue to monitor updated guidance ahead of the day’s resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Pekín el 17 de mayo?
19°C 40%
20°C 29%
21°C 20%
18°C 12.5%
$23,669 Vol.
$23,669 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
13%
19°C
40%
20°C
29%
21°C
20%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
19°C 40%
20°C 29%
21°C 20%
18°C 12.5%
$23,669 Vol.
$23,669 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
13%
19°C
40%
20°C
29%
21°C
20%
22°C
3%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAModel consensus from major ensembles including the China Meteorological Administration, ECMWF, and GFS currently favors a Beijing high near 19–21°C on May 17, positioning those outcomes as market leaders. A weak cold front advancing from the north is expected to bring northerly winds, light rain, and persistent cloud cover that limits daytime solar heating and caps temperatures. Earlier frontal passage with partial clearing could briefly allow readings to reach 22°C, while sustained overcast conditions would hold the peak at or below 19°C. Recent model runs show little divergence in the core 19–21°C range, though traders continue to monitor updated guidance ahead of the day’s resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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