Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a daytime maximum of 31–32 °C for Busan on May 17, with clear skies and southerly flow advecting warmer air from the East China Sea under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. This pattern sits several degrees above the mid-May climatological average of roughly 20–22 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between the 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C outcomes. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and minor differences among short-range model runs for peak heating timing create the narrow spread separating these bins, while any late adjustment in subsidence strength or cloud cover could shift the exact maximum by 1 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Busan el 17 de mayo?
31°C 32.6%
32°C 31%
30°C 23%
29°C 13%
$25,861 Vol.
$25,861 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
13%
30°C
23%
31°C
27%
32°C
31%
33°C or higher
11%
31°C 32.6%
32°C 31%
30°C 23%
29°C 13%
$25,861 Vol.
$25,861 Vol.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
13%
30°C
23%
31°C
27%
32°C
31%
33°C or higher
11%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKKorea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a daytime maximum of 31–32 °C for Busan on May 17, with clear skies and southerly flow advecting warmer air from the East China Sea under a strengthening high-pressure ridge. This pattern sits several degrees above the mid-May climatological average of roughly 20–22 °C, producing the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities between the 30 °C, 31 °C, and 32 °C outcomes. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and minor differences among short-range model runs for peak heating timing create the narrow spread separating these bins, while any late adjustment in subsidence strength or cloud cover could shift the exact maximum by 1 °C.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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