Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and supporting numerical models indicate Karachi will reach a daytime maximum of 36°C on May 16, with persistent sea-breeze advection from the Arabian Sea capping intensification despite ongoing pre-monsoon continental heating. This aligns closely with the city’s May climatological average of 34–36°C and current observational trends showing stable boundary-layer conditions. The near-certain market-implied odds for 36°C reflect this consensus between official guidance and ensemble model runs. A realistic shift to 37°C or higher would require unexpectedly suppressed marine moderation or stronger downslope warming from inland regions, though neither is signaled in the latest guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Karachi on May 16?
$24,648 Vol.
$24,648 Vol.
36°C
100%
37°C or higher
<1%
$24,648 Vol.
$24,648 Vol.
36°C
100%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
Pakistan Meteorological Department forecasts and supporting numerical models indicate Karachi will reach a daytime maximum of 36°C on May 16, with persistent sea-breeze advection from the Arabian Sea capping intensification despite ongoing pre-monsoon continental heating. This aligns closely with the city’s May climatological average of 34–36°C and current observational trends showing stable boundary-layer conditions. The near-certain market-implied odds for 36°C reflect this consensus between official guidance and ensemble model runs. A realistic shift to 37°C or higher would require unexpectedly suppressed marine moderation or stronger downslope warming from inland regions, though neither is signaled in the latest guidance.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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