Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts project a maximum temperature of 37–40°C in Lucknow on May 16, driven by prevailing westerly winds, increased moisture from a weak western disturbance, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Numerical weather models show consistent agreement on these conditions, aligning with observed trends where May highs have remained 2–4°C below seasonal averages amid shifting atmospheric patterns. This underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 41°C or below. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger subsidence could push readings toward 42–43°C, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such rapid changes before evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 16?
41°C or below 100.0%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
45°C <1%
$27,244 Vol.
$27,244 Vol.
16 may 2026
41°C or below
100%
43°C
<1%
44°C
<1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C
<1%
48°C
<1%
49°C
<1%
50°C
<1%
51°C or higher
<1%
41°C or below 100.0%
43°C <1%
44°C <1%
45°C <1%
$27,244 Vol.
$27,244 Vol.
16 may 2026
41°C or below
$5,576 Vol.
100%
43°C
$4,526 Vol.
<1%
44°C
$1,431 Vol.
<1%
45°C
$3,732 Vol.
<1%
46°C
$3,075 Vol.
<1%
47°C
$757 Vol.
<1%
48°C
$935 Vol.
<1%
49°C
$1,813 Vol.
<1%
50°C
$776 Vol.
<1%
51°C or higher
$1,424 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts project a maximum temperature of 37–40°C in Lucknow on May 16, driven by prevailing westerly winds, increased moisture from a weak western disturbance, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Numerical weather models show consistent agreement on these conditions, aligning with observed trends where May highs have remained 2–4°C below seasonal averages amid shifting atmospheric patterns. This underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 41°C or below. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger subsidence could push readings toward 42–43°C, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such rapid changes before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Volumen
$27,244Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts project a maximum temperature of 37–40°C in Lucknow on May 16, driven by prevailing westerly winds, increased moisture from a weak western disturbance, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Numerical weather models show consistent agreement on these conditions, aligning with observed trends where May highs have remained 2–4°C below seasonal averages amid shifting atmospheric patterns. This underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 41°C or below. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger subsidence could push readings toward 42–43°C, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such rapid changes before evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$27,244Fecha de finalización
16 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 14, 2026, 12:22 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
Recent India Meteorological Department forecasts project a maximum temperature of 37–40°C in Lucknow on May 16, driven by prevailing westerly winds, increased moisture from a weak western disturbance, and partial cloud cover that limits daytime heating. Numerical weather models show consistent agreement on these conditions, aligning with observed trends where May highs have remained 2–4°C below seasonal averages amid shifting atmospheric patterns. This underpins the market’s 100% implied probability for 41°C or below. A sudden clearing of skies or stronger subsidence could push readings toward 42–43°C, though current guidance indicates low likelihood of such rapid changes before evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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