Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a cool maritime air mass dominating central Europe, keeping Munich’s daytime maximum firmly at 13°C. This consensus arises from verified surface observations and ensemble runs showing minimal diurnal warming under persistent cloud cover and northerly flow, consistent with May climatological baselines around 18°C but suppressed by a 5–6°C negative anomaly. Traders have converged on this outcome because official Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance and real-time station data align without meaningful spread. Only an unexpected late-afternoon clearance or model bias exceeding 2°C could shift resolution above 13°C, scenarios assigned low probability given current observational agreement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Munich on May 16?
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$81,879 Vol.
$81,879 Vol.
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$81,879 Vol.
$81,879 Vol.
13°C
100%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Munich Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts indicate a cool maritime air mass dominating central Europe, keeping Munich’s daytime maximum firmly at 13°C. This consensus arises from verified surface observations and ensemble runs showing minimal diurnal warming under persistent cloud cover and northerly flow, consistent with May climatological baselines around 18°C but suppressed by a 5–6°C negative anomaly. Traders have converged on this outcome because official Deutscher Wetterdienst guidance and real-time station data align without meaningful spread. Only an unexpected late-afternoon clearance or model bias exceeding 2°C could shift resolution above 13°C, scenarios assigned low probability given current observational agreement.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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