Official forecasts from Météo-France show Paris reaching a maximum of 16°C today under stable high-pressure conditions and northwesterly flow that limits daytime warming. European model consensus, including runs from the ECMWF, projects minimal deviation from this value with no warm advection expected before sunset. This aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for 16°C, reflecting strong observational data from surface stations and the absence of variables that typically drive higher readings. Minor station-to-station differences remain possible within standard measurement uncertainty, but current conditions make any outcome of 17°C or above highly improbable absent an unforeseen shift in the steering pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en París el 16 de mayo?
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$154,837 Vol.
$154,837 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o más
<1%
16°C 100.0%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$154,837 Vol.
$154,837 Vol.
16°C
100%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from Météo-France show Paris reaching a maximum of 16°C today under stable high-pressure conditions and northwesterly flow that limits daytime warming. European model consensus, including runs from the ECMWF, projects minimal deviation from this value with no warm advection expected before sunset. This aligns precisely with the market’s 100% implied probability for 16°C, reflecting strong observational data from surface stations and the absence of variables that typically drive higher readings. Minor station-to-station differences remain possible within standard measurement uncertainty, but current conditions make any outcome of 17°C or above highly improbable absent an unforeseen shift in the steering pattern.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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