Trader consensus assigns a near-100% implied probability to 23°C or below for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 14, 2026, backed by official surface observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) recording a daily maximum of 18°C. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) bulletins and Wunderground data confirm this peak amid fine skies, moderate southeast winds (16-24 km/h), and limited solar heating from a cool air mass over Shandong province—well under the 21°C May climatological average. ECMWF and GFS models accurately predicted the subdued warm-up, with hourly highs around 17.8°C. As the day ends, uncertainty is negligible; only a rare post-finalization revision to records could shift outcomes, though such adjustments seldom exceed 1°C upward.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Qingdao on May 14?
23°C or below 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$18,601 Vol.
$18,601 Vol.
23°C or below
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
23°C or below 100.0%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$18,601 Vol.
$18,601 Vol.
23°C or below
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 12, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: Yes
Sin disputa
Resultado final: Yes
Trader consensus assigns a near-100% implied probability to 23°C or below for Qingdao's highest temperature on May 14, 2026, backed by official surface observations at Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport (ZSQD) recording a daily maximum of 18°C. China Meteorological Administration (CMA) bulletins and Wunderground data confirm this peak amid fine skies, moderate southeast winds (16-24 km/h), and limited solar heating from a cool air mass over Shandong province—well under the 21°C May climatological average. ECMWF and GFS models accurately predicted the subdued warm-up, with hourly highs around 17.8°C. As the day ends, uncertainty is negligible; only a rare post-finalization revision to records could shift outcomes, though such adjustments seldom exceed 1°C upward.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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