The market’s overwhelming consensus on a Seattle high of 58-59°F for May 16 stems directly from National Weather Service station observations that recorded a peak in that narrow range under stable onshore flow and a cool marine layer typical of early May. These conditions suppressed daytime heating despite clear skies, producing temperatures right at or slightly below the month’s long-term average. Traders quickly incorporated the verified readings from official reporting networks, driving implied probability to essentially 100 percent. Only an extremely rare post-event data correction or reanalysis by NOAA could alter the outcome, an event with negligible historical precedent for daily temperature records.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Seattle el 16 de mayo?
58-59°F 100.0%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$93,394 Vol.
$93,394 Vol.
58-59°F
100%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F o más
<1%
58-59°F 100.0%
60-61°F <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$93,394 Vol.
$93,394 Vol.
58-59°F
100%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66°F o más
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 14, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Sin disputa
Resultado final: No
The market’s overwhelming consensus on a Seattle high of 58-59°F for May 16 stems directly from National Weather Service station observations that recorded a peak in that narrow range under stable onshore flow and a cool marine layer typical of early May. These conditions suppressed daytime heating despite clear skies, producing temperatures right at or slightly below the month’s long-term average. Traders quickly incorporated the verified readings from official reporting networks, driving implied probability to essentially 100 percent. Only an extremely rare post-event data correction or reanalysis by NOAA could alter the outcome, an event with negligible historical precedent for daily temperature records.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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