Ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers position 28–29°C as the leading outcomes for Wuhan's peak temperature on May 17, with market-implied probabilities reflecting this consensus under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and a modest chance of afternoon showers that could suppress maximum heating. Numerical weather prediction models show tight agreement on these values, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover near 26–28°C amid rising seasonal insolation and transitional subtropical ridge influence. Recent observational trends from the prior week, including observed highs of 28–30°C, support the current positioning, though cloud cover and humidity near 60–70% introduce modest downside risk to higher thresholds. Resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration readings at the Wuhan station, with final data expected within 24 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 17 de mayo?
¿La temperatura más alta en Wuhan el 17 de mayo?
28°C 49%
29°C 32%
30°C 11%
31°C 4.5%
NUEVO
$29,768 Vol.
NUEVO
$29,768 Vol.
17 may 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
49%
29°C
32%
30°C
11%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 49%
29°C 32%
30°C 11%
31°C 4.5%
NUEVO
$29,768 Vol.
NUEVO
$29,768 Vol.
17 may 2026
24°C or below
$3,184 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,361 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,529 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$9,694 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,525 Vol.
49%
29°C
$612 Vol.
32%
30°C
$1,017 Vol.
11%
31°C
$1,719 Vol.
4%
32°C
$3,116 Vol.
1%
33°C
$1,036 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$977 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers position 28–29°C as the leading outcomes for Wuhan's peak temperature on May 17, with market-implied probabilities reflecting this consensus under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and a modest chance of afternoon showers that could suppress maximum heating. Numerical weather prediction models show tight agreement on these values, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover near 26–28°C amid rising seasonal insolation and transitional subtropical ridge influence. Recent observational trends from the prior week, including observed highs of 28–30°C, support the current positioning, though cloud cover and humidity near 60–70% introduce modest downside risk to higher thresholds. Resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration readings at the Wuhan station, with final data expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volumen
$29,768Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Ensemble forecasts from major meteorological centers position 28–29°C as the leading outcomes for Wuhan's peak temperature on May 17, with market-implied probabilities reflecting this consensus under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and a modest chance of afternoon showers that could suppress maximum heating. Numerical weather prediction models show tight agreement on these values, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover near 26–28°C amid rising seasonal insolation and transitional subtropical ridge influence. Recent observational trends from the prior week, including observed highs of 28–30°C, support the current positioning, though cloud cover and humidity near 60–70% introduce modest downside risk to higher thresholds. Resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration readings at the Wuhan station, with final data expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$29,768Fecha de finalización
17 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHEnsemble forecasts from major meteorological centers position 28–29°C as the leading outcomes for Wuhan's peak temperature on May 17, with market-implied probabilities reflecting this consensus under partly cloudy skies, light southerly flow, and a modest chance of afternoon showers that could suppress maximum heating. Numerical weather prediction models show tight agreement on these values, consistent with May climatology where average highs hover near 26–28°C amid rising seasonal insolation and transitional subtropical ridge influence. Recent observational trends from the prior week, including observed highs of 28–30°C, support the current positioning, though cloud cover and humidity near 60–70% introduce modest downside risk to higher thresholds. Resolution hinges on official China Meteorological Administration readings at the Wuhan station, with final data expected within 24 hours.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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