A crowded field of more than 20 registered candidates continues to fragment voter support ahead of Lima’s October 4 municipal election, keeping early polling and trader probabilities tightly bunched among the top names. Carlos Bruce currently holds the narrowest lead in most surveys, followed by Francis Allison, with Samuel Daza, Carlos Tejada, and Daniel Urresti clustered further back; recent withdrawals such as Luis Rubio’s have produced only modest shifts in the remaining field. The absence of a dominant frontrunner, combined with limited name recognition for many contenders and several months of campaigning still ahead, sustains high uncertainty and prevents any single outcome from pulling decisively ahead in market pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCarlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 30%
Francis James Allison Oyague 22%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype 17.0%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 9.5%
$42,715 Vol.
$42,715 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
30%
Francis James Allison Oyague
22%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
17%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
10%
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
5%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
4%
Segundo Valdez Zavala
4%
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
4%
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
4%
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
3%
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
3%
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
3%
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
3%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
3%
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
3%
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
2%
Yehude Simón Munaro
1%
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
1%
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
1%
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
1%
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
12%
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
<1%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 30%
Francis James Allison Oyague 22%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype 17.0%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 9.5%
$42,715 Vol.
$42,715 Vol.
4 oct 2026
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
$10,788 Vol.
30%
Francis James Allison Oyague
$11,047 Vol.
22%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
$543 Vol.
17%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
$4,807 Vol.
10%
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
$209 Vol.
5%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
$1,041 Vol.
4%
Segundo Valdez Zavala
$224 Vol.
4%
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
$505 Vol.
4%
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
$382 Vol.
4%
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
$279 Vol.
3%
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
$427 Vol.
3%
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
$439 Vol.
3%
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
$213 Vol.
3%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
$6,663 Vol.
3%
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
$346 Vol.
3%
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
$229 Vol.
2%
Yehude Simón Munaro
$2,733 Vol.
1%
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
$579 Vol.
1%
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
$230 Vol.
1%
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
$248 Vol.
1%
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
$473 Vol.
12%
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
$310 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).A crowded field of more than 20 registered candidates continues to fragment voter support ahead of Lima’s October 4 municipal election, keeping early polling and trader probabilities tightly bunched among the top names. Carlos Bruce currently holds the narrowest lead in most surveys, followed by Francis Allison, with Samuel Daza, Carlos Tejada, and Daniel Urresti clustered further back; recent withdrawals such as Luis Rubio’s have produced only modest shifts in the remaining field. The absence of a dominant frontrunner, combined with limited name recognition for many contenders and several months of campaigning still ahead, sustains high uncertainty and prevents any single outcome from pulling decisively ahead in market pricing.
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Mercado abierto: Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Volumen
$42,715Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).A crowded field of more than 20 registered candidates continues to fragment voter support ahead of Lima’s October 4 municipal election, keeping early polling and trader probabilities tightly bunched among the top names. Carlos Bruce currently holds the narrowest lead in most surveys, followed by Francis Allison, with Samuel Daza, Carlos Tejada, and Daniel Urresti clustered further back; recent withdrawals such as Luis Rubio’s have produced only modest shifts in the remaining field. The absence of a dominant frontrunner, combined with limited name recognition for many contenders and several months of campaigning still ahead, sustains high uncertainty and prevents any single outcome from pulling decisively ahead in market pricing.
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volumen
$42,715Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A crowded field of more than 20 registered candidates continues to fragment voter support ahead of Lima’s October 4 municipal election, keeping early polling and trader probabilities tightly bunched among the top names. Carlos Bruce currently holds the narrowest lead in most surveys, followed by Francis Allison, with Samuel Daza, Carlos Tejada, and Daniel Urresti clustered further back; recent withdrawals such as Luis Rubio’s have produced only modest shifts in the remaining field. The absence of a dominant frontrunner, combined with limited name recognition for many contenders and several months of campaigning still ahead, sustains high uncertainty and prevents any single outcome from pulling decisively ahead in market pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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