Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III leads early polling for Alaska’s nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, 2026, which advances the highest vote-getters to the November general election. Recent surveys from May show Begich holding a 17- to 18-point advantage over Democratic-leaning challenger Matt Schultz, reflecting the incumbent’s established name recognition after winning the seat in 2024. The June 1 filing deadline closed with a field that includes additional Republicans such as Ed Goldfarb, independents like Bill Hill, and other Democrats, though none have yet mounted a sustained challenge in public surveys. Anti-incumbent messaging from some opponents has drawn attention but has not shifted the early positioning ahead of the primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
2026.08.18
Nick Begich III
94%
Matt Schultz
94%
Bill Hill
90%
John Williams
48%
Gavin Solomon
28%
매튜 "브롱코" 윌리엄스
19%
$8,889 거래량
Nick Begich III
$379 거래량
94%
Matt Schultz
$235 거래량
94%
Bill Hill
$2,288 거래량
90%
John Williams
$1,624 거래량
48%
Gavin Solomon
$2,167 거래량
28%
매튜 "브롱코" 윌리엄스
$2,195 거래량
19%
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III leads early polling for Alaska’s nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, 2026, which advances the highest vote-getters to the November general election. Recent surveys from May show Begich holding a 17- to 18-point advantage over Democratic-leaning challenger Matt Schultz, reflecting the incumbent’s established name recognition after winning the seat in 2024. The June 1 filing deadline closed with a field that includes additional Republicans such as Ed Goldfarb, independents like Bill Hill, and other Democrats, though none have yet mounted a sustained challenge in public surveys. Anti-incumbent messaging from some opponents has drawn attention but has not shifted the early positioning ahead of the primary.
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
마켓 개설일: May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ET
거래량
$8,889종료일
2026.08.18마켓 개설일
May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III leads early polling for Alaska’s nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, 2026, which advances the highest vote-getters to the November general election. Recent surveys from May show Begich holding a 17- to 18-point advantage over Democratic-leaning challenger Matt Schultz, reflecting the incumbent’s established name recognition after winning the seat in 2024. The June 1 filing deadline closed with a field that includes additional Republicans such as Ed Goldfarb, independents like Bill Hill, and other Democrats, though none have yet mounted a sustained challenge in public surveys. Anti-incumbent messaging from some opponents has drawn attention but has not shifted the early positioning ahead of the primary.
The non-partisan primary election for the Alaska At-Large Congressional District is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Representative from Alaska.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed candidate advances from the primary to contest the seat for Alaska's At-Large congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
거래량
$8,889종료일
2026.08.18마켓 개설일
May 27, 2026, 10:09 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Republican Nick Begich III leads early polling for Alaska’s nonpartisan top-four primary on August 18, 2026, which advances the highest vote-getters to the November general election. Recent surveys from May show Begich holding a 17- to 18-point advantage over Democratic-leaning challenger Matt Schultz, reflecting the incumbent’s established name recognition after winning the seat in 2024. The June 1 filing deadline closed with a field that includes additional Republicans such as Ed Goldfarb, independents like Bill Hill, and other Democrats, though none have yet mounted a sustained challenge in public surveys. Anti-incumbent messaging from some opponents has drawn attention but has not shifted the early positioning ahead of the primary.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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