Florida's 11th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 under the new map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis and upheld by court ruling, establishing a structural Republican advantage for the November 2026 general election. Primary elections scheduled for August 18 will finalize nominees from each party, with the Republican candidate expected to benefit from the district's voting patterns in recent presidential cycles and Florida's broader political environment. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and others rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with the market's 82.5% consensus on the Republican nominee prevailing. Limited Democratic polling activity and absence of competitive indicators have kept the implied probability stable in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-11 House Election Winner
FL-11 House Election Winner
$18,946 Vol.
$18,946 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
16%
$18,946 Vol.
$18,946 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,543 Vol.
83%
Democratic Party
$11,403 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 under the new map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis and upheld by court ruling, establishing a structural Republican advantage for the November 2026 general election. Primary elections scheduled for August 18 will finalize nominees from each party, with the Republican candidate expected to benefit from the district's voting patterns in recent presidential cycles and Florida's broader political environment. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and others rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with the market's 82.5% consensus on the Republican nominee prevailing. Limited Democratic polling activity and absence of competitive indicators have kept the implied probability stable in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Volume
$18,946End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 11th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 under the new map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis and upheld by court ruling, establishing a structural Republican advantage for the November 2026 general election. Primary elections scheduled for August 18 will finalize nominees from each party, with the Republican candidate expected to benefit from the district's voting patterns in recent presidential cycles and Florida's broader political environment. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and others rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with the market's 82.5% consensus on the Republican nominee prevailing. Limited Democratic polling activity and absence of competitive indicators have kept the implied probability stable in recent weeks.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,946End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 11th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+7 under the new map signed by Governor Ron DeSantis and upheld by court ruling, establishing a structural Republican advantage for the November 2026 general election. Primary elections scheduled for August 18 will finalize nominees from each party, with the Republican candidate expected to benefit from the district's voting patterns in recent presidential cycles and Florida's broader political environment. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report and others rate the seat Likely or Solid Republican, aligning with the market's 82.5% consensus on the Republican nominee prevailing. Limited Democratic polling activity and absence of competitive indicators have kept the implied probability stable in recent weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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