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icon for Florida Governor Republican Primary Third Place
Politics·Primaries

Florida Governor Republican Primary Third Place

icon for Florida Governor Republican Primary Third Place
Politics·Primaries

Florida Governor Republican Primary Third Place

James Fishback 64%

Caneste Succe 50%

Bobby Williams 50%

Paul Renner 20%

Polymarket
NEW

James Fishback 64%

Caneste Succe 50%

Bobby Williams 50%

Paul Renner 20%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for James Fishback

James Fishback

$0 Vol.

64%

icon for Caneste Succe

Caneste Succe

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Bobby Williams

Bobby Williams

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Paul Renner

Paul Renner

$0 Vol.

20%

icon for Daniel Nokovich

Daniel Nokovich

$0 Vol.

15%

icon for James Walker Shaw

James Walker Shaw

$0 Vol.

14%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$0 Vol.

12%

icon for Jay Collins

Jay Collins

$0 Vol.

12%

icon for Rachel Rodriguez

Rachel Rodriguez

$0 Vol.

11%

icon for Jim Holcomb

Jim Holcomb

$0 Vol.

9%

icon for Arthur Joseph McCaffrey

Arthur Joseph McCaffrey

$0 Vol.

9%

This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Byron Donalds leads the crowded 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary after securing an early endorsement from President Trump and maintaining a wide lead in fundraising and polling averages. Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, positioned as the DeSantis-aligned alternative, trails in second, leaving the third-place outcome dependent on relative support among lower-polling contenders. James Fishback, a 31-year-old investor with limited campaign funds but notable online visibility, draws the highest trader consensus for third amid a field that includes former House Speaker Paul Renner and several lesser-known candidates. Recent ballot challenges against Fishback's residency were dismissed, while primary-day developments and vote consolidation among established officeholders continue to shape positioning ahead of certification.

This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Byron Donalds leads the crowded 2026 Florida Republican gubernatorial primary after securing an early endorsement from President Trump and maintaining a wide lead in fundraising and polling averages. Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, positioned as the DeSantis-aligned alternative, trails in second, leaving the third-place outcome dependent on relative support among lower-polling contenders. James Fishback, a 31-year-old investor with limited campaign funds but notable online visibility, draws the highest trader consensus for third amid a field that includes former House Speaker Paul Renner and several lesser-known candidates. Recent ballot challenges against Fishback's residency were dismissed, while primary-day developments and vote consolidation among established officeholders continue to shape positioning ahead of certification.

This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 3:11 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who places third in the Republican Primary for Governor of Florida, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the official results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Related

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Will Jay Collins finish second in the Florida Republican Governor primary?

72%
icon for Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Florida Governor Republican Primary Third Place" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "James Fishback" at 64%, followed by "Caneste Succe" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 64¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Florida Governor Republican Primary Third Place" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Florida Governor Republican Primary Third Place," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Florida Governor Republican Primary Third Place" is "James Fishback" at 64%, meaning the market assigns a 64% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Caneste Succe" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Florida Governor Republican Primary Third Place" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.