Recent numerical weather model consensus positions 30°C as the leading outcome for Ankara’s September 3 maximum, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northerly flow that limit mixing and allow efficient daytime heating in the city’s continental setting. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on afternoon peaks of 29–31°C, consistent with late-summer climatology slightly above the long-term September 3 average near 27°C. With resolution two days away and minimal model spread or incoming fronts, traders assign the highest implied probability to 30°C while discounting cooler or hotter outliers. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on September 3?
Highest temperature in Ankara on September 3?
30°C 60%
29°C 21%
31°C 17%
28°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
2%
26°C
2%
27°C
1%
28°C
4%
29°C
21%
30°C
60%
31°C
17%
32°C
3%
33°C
2%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 60%
29°C 21%
31°C 17%
28°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Sep 3, 2026
25°C or below
$5 Vol.
2%
26°C
$5 Vol.
2%
27°C
$57 Vol.
1%
28°C
$95 Vol.
4%
29°C
$427 Vol.
21%
30°C
$245 Vol.
60%
31°C
$569 Vol.
17%
32°C
$206 Vol.
3%
33°C
$15 Vol.
2%
34°C
$168 Vol.
1%
35°C or higher
$174 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus positions 30°C as the leading outcome for Ankara’s September 3 maximum, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northerly flow that limit mixing and allow efficient daytime heating in the city’s continental setting. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on afternoon peaks of 29–31°C, consistent with late-summer climatology slightly above the long-term September 3 average near 27°C. With resolution two days away and minimal model spread or incoming fronts, traders assign the highest implied probability to 30°C while discounting cooler or hotter outliers. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$1,966End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather model consensus positions 30°C as the leading outcome for Ankara’s September 3 maximum, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northerly flow that limit mixing and allow efficient daytime heating in the city’s continental setting. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on afternoon peaks of 29–31°C, consistent with late-summer climatology slightly above the long-term September 3 average near 27°C. With resolution two days away and minimal model spread or incoming fronts, traders assign the highest implied probability to 30°C while discounting cooler or hotter outliers. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,966End Date
Sep 3, 2026Market Opened
Sep 1, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather model consensus positions 30°C as the leading outcome for Ankara’s September 3 maximum, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions, clear skies, and light northerly flow that limit mixing and allow efficient daytime heating in the city’s continental setting. Forecasts from multiple sources converge on afternoon peaks of 29–31°C, consistent with late-summer climatology slightly above the long-term September 3 average near 27°C. With resolution two days away and minimal model spread or incoming fronts, traders assign the highest implied probability to 30°C while discounting cooler or hotter outliers. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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