Official Hong Kong Observatory readings for August 16, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 33°C at the headquarters station, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This value reflects typical late-summer conditions under subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing daytime heating to reach but not exceed that threshold. Nearby regional stations reported comparable peaks between 31–33°C, confirming consistency across the urban network. The near-certainty in trader positioning stems from real-time observational data released shortly after the observation period closed, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an unprecedented post hoc correction by the Observatory or a shift in the exact resolution station definition could alter the result at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 16?
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$129,202 Vol.
$129,202 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$129,202 Vol.
$129,202 Vol.
Aug 16, 2026
27°C or below
$892 Vol.
No
28°C
$1,534 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,171 Vol.
No
30°C
$5,809 Vol.
No
31°C
$12,315 Vol.
No
32°C
$21,613 Vol.
No
33°C
$34,988 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$24,625 Vol.
No
35°C
$18,763 Vol.
No
36°C
$5,322 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$1,169 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory readings for August 16, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 33°C at the headquarters station, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This value reflects typical late-summer conditions under subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing daytime heating to reach but not exceed that threshold. Nearby regional stations reported comparable peaks between 31–33°C, confirming consistency across the urban network. The near-certainty in trader positioning stems from real-time observational data released shortly after the observation period closed, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an unprecedented post hoc correction by the Observatory or a shift in the exact resolution station definition could alter the result at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$129,202End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory readings for August 16, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 33°C at the headquarters station, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This value reflects typical late-summer conditions under subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing daytime heating to reach but not exceed that threshold. Nearby regional stations reported comparable peaks between 31–33°C, confirming consistency across the urban network. The near-certainty in trader positioning stems from real-time observational data released shortly after the observation period closed, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an unprecedented post hoc correction by the Observatory or a shift in the exact resolution station definition could alter the result at this stage.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$129,202End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory readings for August 16, 2026, recorded a daily maximum of 33°C at the headquarters station, aligning precisely with the market's 100% consensus on that outcome. This value reflects typical late-summer conditions under subtropical high pressure, with limited cloud cover and light winds allowing daytime heating to reach but not exceed that threshold. Nearby regional stations reported comparable peaks between 31–33°C, confirming consistency across the urban network. The near-certainty in trader positioning stems from real-time observational data released shortly after the observation period closed, leaving minimal room for revision. Only an unprecedented post hoc correction by the Observatory or a shift in the exact resolution station definition could alter the result at this stage.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions