Seasonal midsummer conditions in northern China drive the market's 100% implied probability for a daily high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 10. Historical climate data indicate typical August maximum temperatures average 30–32°C, with frequent readings above 35°C during the peak of the hot season from May through September. Official monitoring and long-term records from the region confirm that daily highs rarely fall below 26°C this time of year absent extraordinary cold-air intrusions, which climatological patterns make highly improbable. Trader consensus aligns with this established baseline, as any resolution below the threshold would require an unprecedented early-season cooldown event not supported by current atmospheric conditions or forecast guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on August 10?
Highest temperature in Jinan on August 10?
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
100%
26°C or higher 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 10, 2026
16°C or below
$255 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$250 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$515 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$781 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$786 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$755 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$740 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$412 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$772 Vol.
<1%
26°C or higher
$1,162 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal midsummer conditions in northern China drive the market's 100% implied probability for a daily high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 10. Historical climate data indicate typical August maximum temperatures average 30–32°C, with frequent readings above 35°C during the peak of the hot season from May through September. Official monitoring and long-term records from the region confirm that daily highs rarely fall below 26°C this time of year absent extraordinary cold-air intrusions, which climatological patterns make highly improbable. Trader consensus aligns with this established baseline, as any resolution below the threshold would require an unprecedented early-season cooldown event not supported by current atmospheric conditions or forecast guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$6,684End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal midsummer conditions in northern China drive the market's 100% implied probability for a daily high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 10. Historical climate data indicate typical August maximum temperatures average 30–32°C, with frequent readings above 35°C during the peak of the hot season from May through September. Official monitoring and long-term records from the region confirm that daily highs rarely fall below 26°C this time of year absent extraordinary cold-air intrusions, which climatological patterns make highly improbable. Trader consensus aligns with this established baseline, as any resolution below the threshold would require an unprecedented early-season cooldown event not supported by current atmospheric conditions or forecast guidance.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,684End Date
Aug 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Seasonal midsummer conditions in northern China drive the market's 100% implied probability for a daily high of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 10. Historical climate data indicate typical August maximum temperatures average 30–32°C, with frequent readings above 35°C during the peak of the hot season from May through September. Official monitoring and long-term records from the region confirm that daily highs rarely fall below 26°C this time of year absent extraordinary cold-air intrusions, which climatological patterns make highly improbable. Trader consensus aligns with this established baseline, as any resolution below the threshold would require an unprecedented early-season cooldown event not supported by current atmospheric conditions or forecast guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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