National Weather Service forecasts project a Miami high near 93°F on July 12 under mostly sunny subtropical conditions, with light southeast winds and minimal organized convection. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence along the coast remains the key variable that could initiate scattered showers or clouds, potentially capping the peak one to two degrees below model guidance and supporting the close 92–93°F versus 94–95°F market split. Persistent above-normal sea-surface temperatures and recent regional heat provide modest upward pressure, yet typical July climatology (average high near 89–90°F) and historical sea-breeze suppression keep higher brackets at low implied odds. Updated model runs and NHC marine guidance expected overnight will refine the final range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Miami on July 12?
Highest temperature in Miami on July 12?
94-95°F 46%
92-93°F 44%
90-91°F 9%
96-97°F 3.4%
NEW
NEW
Jul 12, 2026
81°F or below
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
9%
92-93°F
44%
94-95°F
46%
96-97°F
3%
98-99°F
<1%
100°F or higher
<1%
94-95°F 46%
92-93°F 44%
90-91°F 9%
96-97°F 3.4%
NEW
NEW
Jul 12, 2026
81°F or below
$126 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$902 Vol.
<1%
84-85°F
$475 Vol.
<1%
86-87°F
$388 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$199 Vol.
1%
90-91°F
$204 Vol.
9%
92-93°F
$133 Vol.
44%
94-95°F
$349 Vol.
46%
96-97°F
$522 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$462 Vol.
<1%
100°F or higher
$175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts project a Miami high near 93°F on July 12 under mostly sunny subtropical conditions, with light southeast winds and minimal organized convection. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence along the coast remains the key variable that could initiate scattered showers or clouds, potentially capping the peak one to two degrees below model guidance and supporting the close 92–93°F versus 94–95°F market split. Persistent above-normal sea-surface temperatures and recent regional heat provide modest upward pressure, yet typical July climatology (average high near 89–90°F) and historical sea-breeze suppression keep higher brackets at low implied odds. Updated model runs and NHC marine guidance expected overnight will refine the final range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$3,935End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts project a Miami high near 93°F on July 12 under mostly sunny subtropical conditions, with light southeast winds and minimal organized convection. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence along the coast remains the key variable that could initiate scattered showers or clouds, potentially capping the peak one to two degrees below model guidance and supporting the close 92–93°F versus 94–95°F market split. Persistent above-normal sea-surface temperatures and recent regional heat provide modest upward pressure, yet typical July climatology (average high near 89–90°F) and historical sea-breeze suppression keep higher brackets at low implied odds. Updated model runs and NHC marine guidance expected overnight will refine the final range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 12 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,935End Date
Jul 12, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts project a Miami high near 93°F on July 12 under mostly sunny subtropical conditions, with light southeast winds and minimal organized convection. Afternoon sea-breeze convergence along the coast remains the key variable that could initiate scattered showers or clouds, potentially capping the peak one to two degrees below model guidance and supporting the close 92–93°F versus 94–95°F market split. Persistent above-normal sea-surface temperatures and recent regional heat provide modest upward pressure, yet typical July climatology (average high near 89–90°F) and historical sea-breeze suppression keep higher brackets at low implied odds. Updated model runs and NHC marine guidance expected overnight will refine the final range.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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