**Current forecasts position 30°C as the most probable peak temperature in Qingdao on June 11, 2026, with models showing a daytime maximum near this threshold under sunny to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds.** Hourly data from monitoring platforms indicate temperatures climbing from morning lows near 18–20°C to afternoon highs of 29–30°C around 13:00–14:00 local time, consistent with a modest warm-air advection from inland Shandong. This aligns with early-June climatology for the coastal city, where typical maxima range 23–28°C but can reach the upper 20s to low 30s during periods of clear skies and reduced marine influence. The modest probability assigned to 31°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in short-term model runs and the moderating effect of the Yellow Sea, while lower brackets remain negligible given observed warming trends and the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation in the latest guidance. Traders are closely watching the next China Meteorological Administration update and any real-time station readings, as even a 1°C model shift could reprice adjacent outcomes ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Qingdao on June 11?
30°C 87%
31°C or higher 14%
29°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$21,619 交易量
$21,619 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
87%
31°C or higher
14%
30°C 87%
31°C or higher 14%
29°C <1%
21°C or below <1%
$21,619 交易量
$21,619 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
87%
31°C or higher
14%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間: Jun 9, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Current forecasts position 30°C as the most probable peak temperature in Qingdao on June 11, 2026, with models showing a daytime maximum near this threshold under sunny to partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds.** Hourly data from monitoring platforms indicate temperatures climbing from morning lows near 18–20°C to afternoon highs of 29–30°C around 13:00–14:00 local time, consistent with a modest warm-air advection from inland Shandong. This aligns with early-June climatology for the coastal city, where typical maxima range 23–28°C but can reach the upper 20s to low 30s during periods of clear skies and reduced marine influence. The modest probability assigned to 31°C or higher reflects residual uncertainty in short-term model runs and the moderating effect of the Yellow Sea, while lower brackets remain negligible given observed warming trends and the absence of significant cloud cover or precipitation in the latest guidance. Traders are closely watching the next China Meteorological Administration update and any real-time station readings, as even a 1°C model shift could reprice adjacent outcomes ahead of final resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions