Official forecasts from Singapore’s Meteorological Service and National Environment Agency indicate daytime maxima near 33°C on August 15 amid Southwest Monsoon conditions, with early showers yielding to mostly sunny skies and moderate humidity. A developing moderate El Niño combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole has suppressed rainfall and elevated temperatures slightly above the long-term August average of roughly 31°C, aligning trader consensus with recent observations of 33–34°C highs. Historical analogs and model consensus reinforce this narrow range, limiting upside risk beyond 34°C. Unexpected increases in cloud cover or convective activity could still cap the peak below 33°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 15?
Highest temperature in Singapore on August 15?
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$71,381 Vol.
$71,381 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
Yes
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
33°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$71,381 Vol.
$71,381 Vol.
Aug 15, 2026
28°C or below
$250 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,627 Vol.
No
30°C
$14,103 Vol.
No
31°C
$11,032 Vol.
No
32°C
$16,314 Vol.
No
33°C
$14,559 Vol.
Yes
34°C
$8,901 Vol.
No
35°C
$2,206 Vol.
No
36°C
$861 Vol.
No
37°C
$222 Vol.
No
38°C or higher
$306 Vol.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Singapore’s Meteorological Service and National Environment Agency indicate daytime maxima near 33°C on August 15 amid Southwest Monsoon conditions, with early showers yielding to mostly sunny skies and moderate humidity. A developing moderate El Niño combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole has suppressed rainfall and elevated temperatures slightly above the long-term August average of roughly 31°C, aligning trader consensus with recent observations of 33–34°C highs. Historical analogs and model consensus reinforce this narrow range, limiting upside risk beyond 34°C. Unexpected increases in cloud cover or convective activity could still cap the peak below 33°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$71,381End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from Singapore’s Meteorological Service and National Environment Agency indicate daytime maxima near 33°C on August 15 amid Southwest Monsoon conditions, with early showers yielding to mostly sunny skies and moderate humidity. A developing moderate El Niño combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole has suppressed rainfall and elevated temperatures slightly above the long-term August average of roughly 31°C, aligning trader consensus with recent observations of 33–34°C highs. Historical analogs and model consensus reinforce this narrow range, limiting upside risk beyond 34°C. Unexpected increases in cloud cover or convective activity could still cap the peak below 33°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Singapore Changi Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Singapore Changi Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$71,381End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sg/singapore/WSSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
Official forecasts from Singapore’s Meteorological Service and National Environment Agency indicate daytime maxima near 33°C on August 15 amid Southwest Monsoon conditions, with early showers yielding to mostly sunny skies and moderate humidity. A developing moderate El Niño combined with a positive Indian Ocean Dipole has suppressed rainfall and elevated temperatures slightly above the long-term August average of roughly 31°C, aligning trader consensus with recent observations of 33–34°C highs. Historical analogs and model consensus reinforce this narrow range, limiting upside risk beyond 34°C. Unexpected increases in cloud cover or convective activity could still cap the peak below 33°C, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such shifts unlikely before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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