Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and other models point to a daytime maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 17 under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-August in the eastern Mediterranean. Sunny skies and light southwesterly sea breezes are expected to moderate peak heating, aligning with the long-term climatological average of 30–32°C for the period. The tight spread between the leading 32°C (46.5%) and 31°C (42.0%) outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around local factors such as exact breeze onset timing and any brief afternoon cloud development, which can shift the official station reading by 1°C. No significant synoptic systems are influencing the region, keeping outcomes within narrow historical bounds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 17?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 17?
32°C 49%
31°C 42%
33°C 8%
30°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
6%
31°C
42%
32°C
49%
33°C
8%
34°C
1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 49%
31°C 42%
33°C 8%
30°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
26°C or below
$112 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$352 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
2%
29°C
$20 Vol.
3%
30°C
$320 Vol.
6%
31°C
$363 Vol.
42%
32°C
$868 Vol.
49%
33°C
$524 Vol.
8%
34°C
$36 Vol.
1%
35°C
$235 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$360 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and other models point to a daytime maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 17 under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-August in the eastern Mediterranean. Sunny skies and light southwesterly sea breezes are expected to moderate peak heating, aligning with the long-term climatological average of 30–32°C for the period. The tight spread between the leading 32°C (46.5%) and 31°C (42.0%) outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around local factors such as exact breeze onset timing and any brief afternoon cloud development, which can shift the official station reading by 1°C. No significant synoptic systems are influencing the region, keeping outcomes within narrow historical bounds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Volume
$3,211End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and other models point to a daytime maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 17 under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-August in the eastern Mediterranean. Sunny skies and light southwesterly sea breezes are expected to moderate peak heating, aligning with the long-term climatological average of 30–32°C for the period. The tight spread between the leading 32°C (46.5%) and 31°C (42.0%) outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around local factors such as exact breeze onset timing and any brief afternoon cloud development, which can shift the official station reading by 1°C. No significant synoptic systems are influencing the region, keeping outcomes within narrow historical bounds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,211End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the UK Met Office and other models point to a daytime maximum near 32°C in Tel Aviv on August 17 under stable high-pressure conditions typical of mid-August in the eastern Mediterranean. Sunny skies and light southwesterly sea breezes are expected to moderate peak heating, aligning with the long-term climatological average of 30–32°C for the period. The tight spread between the leading 32°C (46.5%) and 31°C (42.0%) outcomes reflects genuine forecast uncertainty around local factors such as exact breeze onset timing and any brief afternoon cloud development, which can shift the official station reading by 1°C. No significant synoptic systems are influencing the region, keeping outcomes within narrow historical bounds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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