Recent meteorological forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 16, 2026, center on a maximum of 33°C as the consensus outcome, driven by typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions with high solar insolation, light coastal winds limiting marine cooling, and minimal cloud cover. Long-term climatological data place average August highs near 30–32°C, while current model runs from sources such as the UK Met Office explicitly project daytime peaks at 33°C with overnight lows around 27°C. This positioning explains the 64.5% market-implied probability for 33°C versus lower odds for 32°C or 34°C, as slight model spread in timing or intensity of any brief warming could shift the exact peak. Traders monitor updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours for any revisions from regional agencies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 16?
33°C 65%
32°C 19%
34°C 15%
31°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
19%
33°C
65%
34°C
15%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C or higher
<1%
33°C 65%
32°C 19%
34°C 15%
31°C 2%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
29°C or below
$55 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$94 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$156 Vol.
2%
32°C
$112 Vol.
19%
33°C
$531 Vol.
65%
34°C
$203 Vol.
15%
35°C
$204 Vol.
2%
36°C
$317 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$226 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$128 Vol.
<1%
39°C or higher
$282 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 16, 2026, center on a maximum of 33°C as the consensus outcome, driven by typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions with high solar insolation, light coastal winds limiting marine cooling, and minimal cloud cover. Long-term climatological data place average August highs near 30–32°C, while current model runs from sources such as the UK Met Office explicitly project daytime peaks at 33°C with overnight lows around 27°C. This positioning explains the 64.5% market-implied probability for 33°C versus lower odds for 32°C or 34°C, as slight model spread in timing or intensity of any brief warming could shift the exact peak. Traders monitor updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours for any revisions from regional agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,300End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 16, 2026, center on a maximum of 33°C as the consensus outcome, driven by typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions with high solar insolation, light coastal winds limiting marine cooling, and minimal cloud cover. Long-term climatological data place average August highs near 30–32°C, while current model runs from sources such as the UK Met Office explicitly project daytime peaks at 33°C with overnight lows around 27°C. This positioning explains the 64.5% market-implied probability for 33°C versus lower odds for 32°C or 34°C, as slight model spread in timing or intensity of any brief warming could shift the exact peak. Traders monitor updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours for any revisions from regional agencies.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,300End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Tel Aviv on August 16, 2026, center on a maximum of 33°C as the consensus outcome, driven by typical mid-August Mediterranean conditions with high solar insolation, light coastal winds limiting marine cooling, and minimal cloud cover. Long-term climatological data place average August highs near 30–32°C, while current model runs from sources such as the UK Met Office explicitly project daytime peaks at 33°C with overnight lows around 27°C. This positioning explains the 64.5% market-implied probability for 33°C versus lower odds for 32°C or 34°C, as slight model spread in timing or intensity of any brief warming could shift the exact peak. Traders monitor updated short-range guidance over the next 48 hours for any revisions from regional agencies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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