Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Tel Aviv highs on August 15 will likely reach 32–34°C under sunny, stable conditions typical of peak summer, with minimal precipitation risk and light winds. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C and 34°C outcomes, as August climatology shows average daily maxima near 30–31°C but recent days trending 1–2°C above normal. Minor model spread and urban heat-island effects introduce uncertainty around the precise peak, while official Israel Meteorological Service updates in the next 48 hours could refine guidance on any late intensification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
33°C 57%
34°C 28%
32°C 10%
35°C 3.3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
10%
33°C
57%
34°C
28%
35°C
3%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 57%
34°C 28%
32°C 10%
35°C 3.3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
$380 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$372 Vol.
1%
32°C
$341 Vol.
10%
33°C
$787 Vol.
57%
34°C
$521 Vol.
28%
35°C
$194 Vol.
3%
36°C
$343 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$942 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$333 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$276 Vol.
<1%
40°C or higher
$654 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Tel Aviv highs on August 15 will likely reach 32–34°C under sunny, stable conditions typical of peak summer, with minimal precipitation risk and light winds. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C and 34°C outcomes, as August climatology shows average daily maxima near 30–31°C but recent days trending 1–2°C above normal. Minor model spread and urban heat-island effects introduce uncertainty around the precise peak, while official Israel Meteorological Service updates in the next 48 hours could refine guidance on any late intensification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$5,144End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Tel Aviv highs on August 15 will likely reach 32–34°C under sunny, stable conditions typical of peak summer, with minimal precipitation risk and light winds. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C and 34°C outcomes, as August climatology shows average daily maxima near 30–31°C but recent days trending 1–2°C above normal. Minor model spread and urban heat-island effects introduce uncertainty around the precise peak, while official Israel Meteorological Service updates in the next 48 hours could refine guidance on any late intensification.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,144End Date
Aug 15, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including AccuWeather and timeanddate indicate Tel Aviv highs on August 15 will likely reach 32–34°C under sunny, stable conditions typical of peak summer, with minimal precipitation risk and light winds. This aligns with the market’s heavy weighting toward 33°C and 34°C outcomes, as August climatology shows average daily maxima near 30–31°C but recent days trending 1–2°C above normal. Minor model spread and urban heat-island effects introduce uncertainty around the precise peak, while official Israel Meteorological Service updates in the next 48 hours could refine guidance on any late intensification.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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