Latest numerical weather prediction models, including GFS and regional runs, indicate clear skies and moderate northerly winds will support an afternoon high in Tel Aviv on October 8 near 28–29 °C, with peak heating around 13–15 local time. Trader sentiment splits closely between the 29 °C and 30 °C outcomes because ensemble members differ modestly in boundary-layer mixing and surface heat flux under the prevailing high-pressure ridge. Historical October maxima average 27–28 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above climatology but below any heat-wave threshold. Updated model cycles and morning radiosonde data tomorrow will refine the final peak before official Israel Meteorological Service observations resolve the market.