Trader consensus strongly favors exactly 13 SpaceX launches in August 2026, backed by the company's established Falcon 9 cadence and multiple Starlink deployments that aligned with historical monthly averages. Steady operations without extended FAA holds, weather delays, or technical scrubs supported this outcome, as SpaceX maintained reliable turnaround times between missions. Scenarios that could still alter the final count include an unscheduled Starship test flight or last-minute payload additions, though such developments would require rapid regulatory approval and have rarely materialized within single-month windows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated13 100.0%
<13 <1%
14 <1%
15 <1%
$8,107 Vol.
$8,107 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<13
No
13
Yes
14
No
15
No
16+
No
13 100.0%
<13 <1%
14 <1%
15 <1%
$8,107 Vol.
$8,107 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<13
$4,120 Vol.
No
13
$955 Vol.
Yes
14
$1,947 Vol.
No
15
$521 Vol.
No
16+
$563 Vol.
No
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.Trader consensus strongly favors exactly 13 SpaceX launches in August 2026, backed by the company's established Falcon 9 cadence and multiple Starlink deployments that aligned with historical monthly averages. Steady operations without extended FAA holds, weather delays, or technical scrubs supported this outcome, as SpaceX maintained reliable turnaround times between missions. Scenarios that could still alter the final count include an unscheduled Starship test flight or last-minute payload additions, though such developments would require rapid regulatory approval and have rarely materialized within single-month windows.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 1:08 PM ET
Volume
$8,107End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.Trader consensus strongly favors exactly 13 SpaceX launches in August 2026, backed by the company's established Falcon 9 cadence and multiple Starlink deployments that aligned with historical monthly averages. Steady operations without extended FAA holds, weather delays, or technical scrubs supported this outcome, as SpaceX maintained reliable turnaround times between missions. Scenarios that could still alter the final count include an unscheduled Starship test flight or last-minute payload additions, though such developments would require rapid regulatory approval and have rarely materialized within single-month windows.
This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
Volume
$8,107End Date
Sep 1, 2026Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Trader consensus strongly favors exactly 13 SpaceX launches in August 2026, backed by the company's established Falcon 9 cadence and multiple Starlink deployments that aligned with historical monthly averages. Steady operations without extended FAA holds, weather delays, or technical scrubs supported this outcome, as SpaceX maintained reliable turnaround times between missions. Scenarios that could still alter the final count include an unscheduled Starship test flight or last-minute payload additions, though such developments would require rapid regulatory approval and have rarely materialized within single-month windows.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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