Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, after the Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as his successor two days earlier. Powell publicly stated in late April that he would remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period, citing ongoing legal and political pressures on the institution, with his governor term extending into 2028. This transition follows a period of steady interest-rate decisions and marks the first instance since 1948 of a departing chair staying on the board. Traders assessing departure timelines weigh the fixed statutory end date against any potential delays in the handover or shifts in board composition. Upcoming factors include the new chair’s initial policy signals and the status of separate investigations into Federal Reserve operations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$211,646 Vol.
Jun 30, 2026
June 30
99%
May 31
88%
$211,646 Vol.
June 30
$28,665 Vol.
99%
May 31
$15,554 Vol.
88%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, after the Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as his successor two days earlier. Powell publicly stated in late April that he would remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period, citing ongoing legal and political pressures on the institution, with his governor term extending into 2028. This transition follows a period of steady interest-rate decisions and marks the first instance since 1948 of a departing chair staying on the board. Traders assessing departure timelines weigh the fixed statutory end date against any potential delays in the handover or shifts in board composition. Upcoming factors include the new chair’s initial policy signals and the status of separate investigations into Federal Reserve operations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 3:55 PM ET
Volume
$211,646End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, after the Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as his successor two days earlier. Powell publicly stated in late April that he would remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period, citing ongoing legal and political pressures on the institution, with his governor term extending into 2028. This transition follows a period of steady interest-rate decisions and marks the first instance since 1948 of a departing chair staying on the board. Traders assessing departure timelines weigh the fixed statutory end date against any potential delays in the handover or shifts in board composition. Upcoming factors include the new chair’s initial policy signals and the status of separate investigations into Federal Reserve operations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of resignations or firings will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$211,646End Date
Jun 30, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 3:55 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Jerome Powell’s second four-year term as Federal Reserve Chair concluded on May 15, 2026, after the Senate confirmed Kevin Warsh as his successor two days earlier. Powell publicly stated in late April that he would remain on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period, citing ongoing legal and political pressures on the institution, with his governor term extending into 2028. This transition follows a period of steady interest-rate decisions and marks the first instance since 1948 of a departing chair staying on the board. Traders assessing departure timelines weigh the fixed statutory end date against any potential delays in the handover or shifts in board composition. Upcoming factors include the new chair’s initial policy signals and the status of separate investigations into Federal Reserve operations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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