**Trader consensus heavily favors under five posts by the relevant Khamenei account(s) during August 25–September 1, 2026 (72.5% on <5).** This reflects the current Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei's limited public-facing activity amid ongoing regional tensions, internal security priorities, and a pattern of reduced visibility since assuming the role. Official accounts such as @khamenei_ir have recently shared archival statements at irregular, low frequency, while @MKhamenei_ir clustered several appointment announcements around August 10 before going quiet. Broader context includes the leader's reported time in hiding, infrastructure disruptions from prior attacks, and a strategic emphasis on military reorganizations and domestic stability over routine social media output. Comparable low-activity weeks in 2026 have reinforced expectations that scheduled or reactive statements will remain minimal absent major escalations. Traders price in the possibility of modest increases (5–9 at 21.5%) if appointments or statements arise, but structural constraints on high-volume posting keep elevated bins at single-digit probabilities.