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icon for Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?

icon for Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?
Politics·Tweet Markets

Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?

Aug 18

Aug 21

Aug 25

Aug 28

Aug 18

Aug 21

Aug 25

Aug 28

<5 66%

40-44 32%

50-54 32%

55-59 31%

Polymarket
NEW

<5 66%

40-44 32%

50-54 32%

55-59 31%

Polymarket
NEW

<5

$396 Vol.

66%

5-9

$21 Vol.

21%

10-14

$18 Vol.

9%

15-19

$0 Vol.

16%

20-24

$0 Vol.

17%

25-29

$0 Vol.

11%

30-34

$0 Vol.

15%

35-39

$0 Vol.

15%

40-44

$5 Vol.

32%

45-49

$5 Vol.

28%

50-54

$5 Vol.

32%

55-59

$5 Vol.

31%

60+

$5 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The leading outcome of under five posts on the primary @khamenei_ir account during August 21-28 reflects its measured posting cadence following the 2026 leadership transition and ongoing regional tensions. Mojtaba Khamenei's August appointments of veteran military commanders to security roles emphasize institutional consolidation and sustained defense posture over high-volume public messaging. With no major scheduled statements or commemorative events identified for that window, traders' consensus aligns with patterns of restrained activity on the martyred leader's account amid the current security environment.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$460
End Date
Aug 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The leading outcome of under five posts on the primary @khamenei_ir account during August 21-28 reflects its measured posting cadence following the 2026 leadership transition and ongoing regional tensions. Mojtaba Khamenei's August appointments of veteran military commanders to security roles emphasize institutional consolidation and sustained defense posture over high-volume public messaging. With no major scheduled statements or commemorative events identified for that window, traders' consensus aligns with patterns of restrained activity on the martyred leader's account amid the current security environment.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$460
End Date
Aug 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 18, 2026, 12:00 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://x.com/khamenei_ir

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 13 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "<5" at 66%, followed by "5-9" at 21%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?," browse the 13 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?" is "<5" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "5-9" at 21%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Khamenei # posts August 21 - August 28, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.