Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei’s official X account (@MKhamenei_ir) has maintained low posting volume in recent weeks, consistent with the pattern of infrequent statements from the Iranian leadership amid ongoing regional tensions and reported communication difficulties. Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts during September 22–29, reflecting the account’s historical rhythm of occasional threads or isolated messages rather than daily output. Primary drivers include the leader’s limited public appearances since succession and the absence of immediate scheduled events or escalations that typically prompt additional statements. Scenarios that could increase activity include a major diplomatic development, military incident, or religious commemoration within the window, though current conditions point to restrained engagement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?
Khamenei # posts September 22 - September 29, 2026?
<5 92%
45-49 4.9%
40-44 4.8%
5-9 4.5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 29, 2026
<5
92%
5-9
5%
10-14
1%
15-19
1%
20-24
1%
25-29
1%
30-34
2%
35-39
1%
40-44
5%
45-49
5%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
4%
<5 92%
45-49 4.9%
40-44 4.8%
5-9 4.5%
NEW
NEW
Sep 29, 2026
<5
$12 Vol.
92%
5-9
$0 Vol.
5%
10-14
$25 Vol.
1%
15-19
$31 Vol.
1%
20-24
$31 Vol.
1%
25-29
$31 Vol.
1%
30-34
$11 Vol.
2%
35-39
$31 Vol.
1%
40-44
$5 Vol.
5%
45-49
$5 Vol.
5%
50-54
$20 Vol.
1%
55-59
$20 Vol.
1%
60+
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei’s official X account (@MKhamenei_ir) has maintained low posting volume in recent weeks, consistent with the pattern of infrequent statements from the Iranian leadership amid ongoing regional tensions and reported communication difficulties. Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts during September 22–29, reflecting the account’s historical rhythm of occasional threads or isolated messages rather than daily output. Primary drivers include the leader’s limited public appearances since succession and the absence of immediate scheduled events or escalations that typically prompt additional statements. Scenarios that could increase activity include a major diplomatic development, military incident, or religious commemoration within the window, though current conditions point to restrained engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$227End Date
Sep 29, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei’s official X account (@MKhamenei_ir) has maintained low posting volume in recent weeks, consistent with the pattern of infrequent statements from the Iranian leadership amid ongoing regional tensions and reported communication difficulties. Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts during September 22–29, reflecting the account’s historical rhythm of occasional threads or isolated messages rather than daily output. Primary drivers include the leader’s limited public appearances since succession and the absence of immediate scheduled events or escalations that typically prompt additional statements. Scenarios that could increase activity include a major diplomatic development, military incident, or religious commemoration within the window, though current conditions point to restrained engagement.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between September 22, 12:00 PM ET and September 29, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$227End Date
Sep 29, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei’s official X account (@MKhamenei_ir) has maintained low posting volume in recent weeks, consistent with the pattern of infrequent statements from the Iranian leadership amid ongoing regional tensions and reported communication difficulties. Trader consensus heavily favors fewer than five posts during September 22–29, reflecting the account’s historical rhythm of occasional threads or isolated messages rather than daily output. Primary drivers include the leader’s limited public appearances since succession and the absence of immediate scheduled events or escalations that typically prompt additional statements. Scenarios that could increase activity include a major diplomatic development, military incident, or religious commemoration within the window, though current conditions point to restrained engagement.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions