Recent forecasts from South African weather services point to a minimum of 11°C in Cape Town on August 23 under fine conditions with light to moderate southerly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 9–11°C. A series of cold fronts has kept western coastal temperatures below seasonal norms through mid-August, yet moderating Atlantic influences and reduced frontal activity are expected to limit further cooling. Historical August lows average near 9–10°C, with typical diurnal ranges shaped by Table Mountain’s orographic effects and variable cloud cover. Traders weigh model consensus on overnight radiative cooling against potential wind shifts that could raise or lower the reading by 1–2°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Cape Town on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on August 23?
10°C 22%
11°C 21%
9°C 19%
8°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
6°C or below
3%
7°C
6%
8°C
17%
9°C
19%
10°C
22%
11°C
21%
12°C
17%
13°C
12%
14°C
2%
15°C
11%
16°C or higher
<1%
10°C 22%
11°C 21%
9°C 19%
8°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
6°C or below
$32 Vol.
3%
7°C
$30 Vol.
6%
8°C
$0 Vol.
17%
9°C
$0 Vol.
19%
10°C
$0 Vol.
22%
11°C
$0 Vol.
21%
12°C
$0 Vol.
17%
13°C
$0 Vol.
12%
14°C
$0 Vol.
2%
15°C
$5 Vol.
11%
16°C or higher
$32 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from South African weather services point to a minimum of 11°C in Cape Town on August 23 under fine conditions with light to moderate southerly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 9–11°C. A series of cold fronts has kept western coastal temperatures below seasonal norms through mid-August, yet moderating Atlantic influences and reduced frontal activity are expected to limit further cooling. Historical August lows average near 9–10°C, with typical diurnal ranges shaped by Table Mountain’s orographic effects and variable cloud cover. Traders weigh model consensus on overnight radiative cooling against potential wind shifts that could raise or lower the reading by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$99End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from South African weather services point to a minimum of 11°C in Cape Town on August 23 under fine conditions with light to moderate southerly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 9–11°C. A series of cold fronts has kept western coastal temperatures below seasonal norms through mid-August, yet moderating Atlantic influences and reduced frontal activity are expected to limit further cooling. Historical August lows average near 9–10°C, with typical diurnal ranges shaped by Table Mountain’s orographic effects and variable cloud cover. Traders weigh model consensus on overnight radiative cooling against potential wind shifts that could raise or lower the reading by 1–2°C before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$99End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from South African weather services point to a minimum of 11°C in Cape Town on August 23 under fine conditions with light to moderate southerly winds, driving the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 9–11°C. A series of cold fronts has kept western coastal temperatures below seasonal norms through mid-August, yet moderating Atlantic influences and reduced frontal activity are expected to limit further cooling. Historical August lows average near 9–10°C, with typical diurnal ranges shaped by Table Mountain’s orographic effects and variable cloud cover. Traders weigh model consensus on overnight radiative cooling against potential wind shifts that could raise or lower the reading by 1–2°C before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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