Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on August 14, 2026, reached exactly 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory, aligning with the dominant market-implied outcome at 100% probability. This reflects typical mid-August nocturnal conditions in the subtropical climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity sustain overnight lows near 26–28°C amid persistent warm advection from the south. Recent heatwave patterns, including record daytime maxima above 36°C earlier in the month, further supported elevated baseline temperatures without significant cooling from frontal systems or rainfall. While forecast model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional data reinforced this range, minor variations in station siting or microclimatic effects could theoretically shift readings by 1°C, though official verification criteria make such adjustments improbable for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 14?
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$74,584 Vol.
$74,584 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
Yes
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
26°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$74,584 Vol.
$74,584 Vol.
Aug 14, 2026
22°C or below
$2,697 Vol.
No
23°C
$4,022 Vol.
No
24°C
$6,030 Vol.
No
25°C
$10,309 Vol.
No
26°C
$12,476 Vol.
Yes
27°C
$17,941 Vol.
No
28°C
$6,732 Vol.
No
29°C
$8,527 Vol.
No
30°C
$4,174 Vol.
No
31°C
$567 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$1,108 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on August 14, 2026, reached exactly 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory, aligning with the dominant market-implied outcome at 100% probability. This reflects typical mid-August nocturnal conditions in the subtropical climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity sustain overnight lows near 26–28°C amid persistent warm advection from the south. Recent heatwave patterns, including record daytime maxima above 36°C earlier in the month, further supported elevated baseline temperatures without significant cooling from frontal systems or rainfall. While forecast model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional data reinforced this range, minor variations in station siting or microclimatic effects could theoretically shift readings by 1°C, though official verification criteria make such adjustments improbable for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$74,584End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on August 14, 2026, reached exactly 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory, aligning with the dominant market-implied outcome at 100% probability. This reflects typical mid-August nocturnal conditions in the subtropical climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity sustain overnight lows near 26–28°C amid persistent warm advection from the south. Recent heatwave patterns, including record daytime maxima above 36°C earlier in the month, further supported elevated baseline temperatures without significant cooling from frontal systems or rainfall. While forecast model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional data reinforced this range, minor variations in station siting or microclimatic effects could theoretically shift readings by 1°C, though official verification criteria make such adjustments improbable for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$74,584End Date
Aug 14, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Hong Kong's official minimum temperature on August 14, 2026, reached exactly 26°C at the Hong Kong Observatory, aligning with the dominant market-implied outcome at 100% probability. This reflects typical mid-August nocturnal conditions in the subtropical climate, where urban heat island effects and high humidity sustain overnight lows near 26–28°C amid persistent warm advection from the south. Recent heatwave patterns, including record daytime maxima above 36°C earlier in the month, further supported elevated baseline temperatures without significant cooling from frontal systems or rainfall. While forecast model consensus from the Hong Kong Observatory and regional data reinforced this range, minor variations in station siting or microclimatic effects could theoretically shift readings by 1°C, though official verification criteria make such adjustments improbable for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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