Traders have converged on 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 19, 2026, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming that minimum. In August’s subtropical monsoon regime, overnight lows typically range 26–28°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling, with urban heat island effects in dense districts further moderating extremes. The 100% market-implied probability aligns with verified station data rather than forecasts, as post-event measurements eliminate model uncertainty. Only an unreported station anomaly or data revision could alter resolution, though historical August patterns and recent seasonal outlooks for near-normal temperatures reinforce this outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 19?
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$39,201 Vol.
$39,201 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$39,201 Vol.
$39,201 Vol.
Aug 19, 2026
22°C or below
$236 Vol.
No
23°C
$2,472 Vol.
No
24°C
$4,214 Vol.
No
25°C
$3,563 Vol.
No
26°C
$7,224 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,141 Vol.
No
28°C
$9,912 Vol.
Yes
29°C
$3,322 Vol.
No
30°C
$1,726 Vol.
No
31°C
$695 Vol.
No
32°C or higher
$1,697 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 19, 2026, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming that minimum. In August’s subtropical monsoon regime, overnight lows typically range 26–28°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling, with urban heat island effects in dense districts further moderating extremes. The 100% market-implied probability aligns with verified station data rather than forecasts, as post-event measurements eliminate model uncertainty. Only an unreported station anomaly or data revision could alter resolution, though historical August patterns and recent seasonal outlooks for near-normal temperatures reinforce this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$39,201End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Traders have converged on 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 19, 2026, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming that minimum. In August’s subtropical monsoon regime, overnight lows typically range 26–28°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling, with urban heat island effects in dense districts further moderating extremes. The 100% market-implied probability aligns with verified station data rather than forecasts, as post-event measurements eliminate model uncertainty. Only an unreported station anomaly or data revision could alter resolution, though historical August patterns and recent seasonal outlooks for near-normal temperatures reinforce this outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$39,201End Date
Aug 19, 2026Market Opened
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Traders have converged on 28°C as the lowest temperature recorded in Hong Kong on August 19, 2026, reflecting official observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirming that minimum. In August’s subtropical monsoon regime, overnight lows typically range 26–28°C amid high humidity and limited radiative cooling, with urban heat island effects in dense districts further moderating extremes. The 100% market-implied probability aligns with verified station data rather than forecasts, as post-event measurements eliminate model uncertainty. Only an unreported station anomaly or data revision could alter resolution, though historical August patterns and recent seasonal outlooks for near-normal temperatures reinforce this outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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