Current forecasts from NWS and models place the overnight low near 69–71°F on August 23, driven by a moderate marine layer with patchy fog and southwest flow that moderates coastal cooling while inland areas retain more heat. Historical August averages hover around 65°F, but recent nights near 67–70°F and limited cloud cover keep extremes viable: stronger onshore winds or deeper stratus could push readings to 63°F or below at LAX or beaches, whereas clearer skies and urban heat retention raise odds of 82°F or higher downtown. Model spread on boundary-layer mixing and dew points creates the near-even market split, with resolution hinging on final 24-hour observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Los Angeles on August 23?
82°F or higher 87%
76-77°F 51%
63°F or below 46%
70-71°F 28%
63°F or below
46%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
51%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
6%
82°F or higher
87%
82°F or higher 87%
76-77°F 51%
63°F or below 46%
70-71°F 28%
63°F or below
46%
64-65°F
27%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
30%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
51%
78-79°F
6%
80-81°F
6%
82°F or higher
87%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klaxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from NWS and models place the overnight low near 69–71°F on August 23, driven by a moderate marine layer with patchy fog and southwest flow that moderates coastal cooling while inland areas retain more heat. Historical August averages hover around 65°F, but recent nights near 67–70°F and limited cloud cover keep extremes viable: stronger onshore winds or deeper stratus could push readings to 63°F or below at LAX or beaches, whereas clearer skies and urban heat retention raise odds of 82°F or higher downtown. Model spread on boundary-layer mixing and dew points creates the near-even market split, with resolution hinging on final 24-hour observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions