Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a Sunday night low near 66°F for New York City under partly cloudy skies following daytime showers, with southwest winds around 5–10 mph limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology, where the 1991–2020 average minimum for August 23 is 67.5°F, though recent overnight readings have ranged 64–69°F amid variable humidity and precipitation. Trader emphasis on 68–71°F bins reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat island effects at Central Park or LaGuardia stations, while lower-probability colder outcomes would require clearer, calmer conditions than currently projected. Updated model runs and evening observations ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in NYC on August 23?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 23?
70-71°F 45%
68-69°F 25%
72-73°F 19%
66-67°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
59°F or below
1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
8%
64-65°F
6%
66-67°F
13%
68-69°F
25%
70-71°F
45%
72-73°F
19%
74-75°F
5%
76-77°F
2%
78°F or higher
4%
70-71°F 45%
68-69°F 25%
72-73°F 19%
66-67°F 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 23, 2026
59°F or below
$5 Vol.
1%
60-61°F
$5 Vol.
1%
62-63°F
$15 Vol.
8%
64-65°F
$61 Vol.
6%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
13%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
25%
70-71°F
$41 Vol.
45%
72-73°F
$22 Vol.
19%
74-75°F
$25 Vol.
5%
76-77°F
$143 Vol.
2%
78°F or higher
$5 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a Sunday night low near 66°F for New York City under partly cloudy skies following daytime showers, with southwest winds around 5–10 mph limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology, where the 1991–2020 average minimum for August 23 is 67.5°F, though recent overnight readings have ranged 64–69°F amid variable humidity and precipitation. Trader emphasis on 68–71°F bins reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat island effects at Central Park or LaGuardia stations, while lower-probability colder outcomes would require clearer, calmer conditions than currently projected. Updated model runs and evening observations ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$322End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a Sunday night low near 66°F for New York City under partly cloudy skies following daytime showers, with southwest winds around 5–10 mph limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology, where the 1991–2020 average minimum for August 23 is 67.5°F, though recent overnight readings have ranged 64–69°F amid variable humidity and precipitation. Trader emphasis on 68–71°F bins reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat island effects at Central Park or LaGuardia stations, while lower-probability colder outcomes would require clearer, calmer conditions than currently projected. Updated model runs and evening observations ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$322End Date
Aug 23, 2026Market Opened
Aug 22, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus indicate a Sunday night low near 66°F for New York City under partly cloudy skies following daytime showers, with southwest winds around 5–10 mph limiting radiative cooling. This aligns with late-August climatology, where the 1991–2020 average minimum for August 23 is 67.5°F, though recent overnight readings have ranged 64–69°F amid variable humidity and precipitation. Trader emphasis on 68–71°F bins reflects uncertainty in exact minimum timing and urban heat island effects at Central Park or LaGuardia stations, while lower-probability colder outcomes would require clearer, calmer conditions than currently projected. Updated model runs and evening observations ahead of resolution remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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