Current forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate Miami overnight lows near 80–82°F for August 13 amid typical late-summer humidity and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. High moisture content in the boundary layer reduces temperature drops after sunset, keeping minimums close to recent observed values of 83–84°F. With no tropical systems or strong fronts expected, model consensus favors the market's leading 78–81°F bins while allowing modest downside risk if clearer skies develop. Historical August normals near 78–80°F provide context, but persistent warmth this season tilts trader probabilities toward the upper end of the typical range ahead of final hourly observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Miami on August 13?
Lowest temperature in Miami on August 13?
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 36%
76-77°F 15%
82-83°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
1%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
15%
78-79°F
36%
80-81°F
40%
82-83°F
12%
84-85°F
1%
86-87°F
1%
88°F or higher
<1%
80-81°F 40%
78-79°F 36%
76-77°F 15%
82-83°F 12%
NEW
NEW
Aug 13, 2026
69°F or below
$32 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$27 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$17 Vol.
1%
74-75°F
$34 Vol.
6%
76-77°F
$56 Vol.
15%
78-79°F
$90 Vol.
36%
80-81°F
$79 Vol.
40%
82-83°F
$46 Vol.
12%
84-85°F
$278 Vol.
1%
86-87°F
$17 Vol.
1%
88°F or higher
$27 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate Miami overnight lows near 80–82°F for August 13 amid typical late-summer humidity and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. High moisture content in the boundary layer reduces temperature drops after sunset, keeping minimums close to recent observed values of 83–84°F. With no tropical systems or strong fronts expected, model consensus favors the market's leading 78–81°F bins while allowing modest downside risk if clearer skies develop. Historical August normals near 78–80°F provide context, but persistent warmth this season tilts trader probabilities toward the upper end of the typical range ahead of final hourly observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Volume
$704End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate Miami overnight lows near 80–82°F for August 13 amid typical late-summer humidity and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. High moisture content in the boundary layer reduces temperature drops after sunset, keeping minimums close to recent observed values of 83–84°F. With no tropical systems or strong fronts expected, model consensus favors the market's leading 78–81°F bins while allowing modest downside risk if clearer skies develop. Historical August normals near 78–80°F provide context, but persistent warmth this season tilts trader probabilities toward the upper end of the typical range ahead of final hourly observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$704End Date
Aug 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 9:30 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from NOAA and AccuWeather indicate Miami overnight lows near 80–82°F for August 13 amid typical late-summer humidity and light easterly winds that limit radiative cooling. High moisture content in the boundary layer reduces temperature drops after sunset, keeping minimums close to recent observed values of 83–84°F. With no tropical systems or strong fronts expected, model consensus favors the market's leading 78–81°F bins while allowing modest downside risk if clearer skies develop. Historical August normals near 78–80°F provide context, but persistent warmth this season tilts trader probabilities toward the upper end of the typical range ahead of final hourly observations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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