Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 2 will likely settle near 14–16°C under variable cloud cover, light showers, and southwest winds of 5–10 m/s. These conditions promote moderate mixing that curbs strong radiative cooling, while the advected air mass remains mild relative to climatological September averages around 10–11°C. Ensemble spreads and timing of any clearer intervals introduce uncertainty across the 13–16°C band, with lower probabilities assigned to 12°C or below due to limited cold-air intrusion potential. Updated model runs and surface observations through the night will refine exact minimums ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Moscow on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Moscow on September 2?
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
15°C 100%
17°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
11°C or below
8%
12°C
92%
13°C
100%
14°C
100%
15°C
100%
16°C
-
17°C
100%
18°C
100%
19°C
100%
20°C
-
21°C or higher
8%
13°C 100%
14°C 100%
15°C 100%
17°C 100%
NEW
NEW
Sep 2, 2026
11°C or below
$68 Vol.
8%
12°C
$6 Vol.
92%
13°C
$0 Vol.
100%
14°C
$0 Vol.
100%
15°C
$0 Vol.
100%
16°C
$5 Vol.
-
17°C
$0 Vol.
100%
18°C
$0 Vol.
100%
19°C
$5 Vol.
100%
20°C
$5 Vol.
-
21°C or higher
$5 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 2 will likely settle near 14–16°C under variable cloud cover, light showers, and southwest winds of 5–10 m/s. These conditions promote moderate mixing that curbs strong radiative cooling, while the advected air mass remains mild relative to climatological September averages around 10–11°C. Ensemble spreads and timing of any clearer intervals introduce uncertainty across the 13–16°C band, with lower probabilities assigned to 12°C or below due to limited cold-air intrusion potential. Updated model runs and surface observations through the night will refine exact minimums ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$94End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 2 will likely settle near 14–16°C under variable cloud cover, light showers, and southwest winds of 5–10 m/s. These conditions promote moderate mixing that curbs strong radiative cooling, while the advected air mass remains mild relative to climatological September averages around 10–11°C. Ensemble spreads and timing of any clearer intervals introduce uncertainty across the 13–16°C band, with lower probabilities assigned to 12°C or below due to limited cold-air intrusion potential. Updated model runs and surface observations through the night will refine exact minimums ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$94End Date
Sep 2, 2026Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological models indicate Moscow's overnight low on September 2 will likely settle near 14–16°C under variable cloud cover, light showers, and southwest winds of 5–10 m/s. These conditions promote moderate mixing that curbs strong radiative cooling, while the advected air mass remains mild relative to climatological September averages around 10–11°C. Ensemble spreads and timing of any clearer intervals introduce uncertainty across the 13–16°C band, with lower probabilities assigned to 12°C or below due to limited cold-air intrusion potential. Updated model runs and surface observations through the night will refine exact minimums ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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